Intrade senate races. . AZ better shot than VA. IN, NV better shot than WI, MT. (user search)
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  Intrade senate races. . AZ better shot than VA. IN, NV better shot than WI, MT. (search mode)
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Author Topic: Intrade senate races. . AZ better shot than VA. IN, NV better shot than WI, MT.  (Read 1025 times)
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
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Posts: 44,066
United States


« on: August 24, 2012, 05:37:12 PM »
There's no point even looking at the numbers on contracts where the volume is as low as some of these.  In the "Dems to win the Michigan senate race" market, only 2 shares have actually been traded.  Only 2 people have actually traded in that market, so saying that it reflects the wisdom of the market makes no sense.  Compare that to the presidential market.  "Dems to win the presidency in 2012" has had over 100,000 shares traded.
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