Odds of a GOP shut-out in each category? (user search)
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  Odds of a GOP shut-out in each category? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Odds of a GOP shut-out in each category?  (Read 818 times)
Mr. Morden
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« on: October 04, 2006, 08:13:11 AM »
Quote from: Nym90 on October 04, 2006, 12:25:55 AM
I predict the GOP will indeed get shut out in all 3.

Although if your numbers are right, the odds of a complete shutout of gains in all three would be .75*.5*.55=20.625%

Only if the three are all completely uncorrelated.  I would assume that there are certain events (like another major scandal or gas prices moving significantly in one direction or the other) that could help or hurt Republicans across the board.
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