Quinnipiac - VA: Kaine up 20 on Ingraham / 21 on Fiorina

[Suburbia]

Trump's approval rating is 38-58 in the state too, which basically lines up with the Senate race. It's too bad we didn't get regional breakdowns, because it would be interesting to see if the Republicans are cratering in Nova even more than usual, or if they're starting to lose in Richmond suburbs and such. Probably both.

Yeah, probably both. The Philly suburbs might be a foreshadowing of things to come. If all of the suburbs start voting like urban areas at a national level, the Republican Party will go extinct.

The GOP can still win in the suburbs. Crime, taxes, schools could be a good message for suburban Republicans nationwide. Suburbs are Lean D, but anything can happen.

[Suburbia]

Our problem isn't really suburbs shifting so much as it is urban areas taking over what used to be suburbs.

Nah trust me, that's the problem. Just take a trip on Google Maps and you'll see that NoVA is nowhere near as dense as DC. Republicans used to at least dominate in neighborhoods with McMansions while keeping it respectable with the slightly more dense suburbs, but those days are long gone. I think what you're failing to understand is that NoVA suburbs are much more educated and diverse where everyone knows a fair amount of minorities in their lives. This is not analogous to other suburban areas that still vote Republican.

However, I think Gillespie could do very well in the NoVA suburbs, don't you think? He has that suburban appeal about him.

[Suburbia]

Former Hewlett-Packard CEO Carly Fiorina might have made it close, but Former Hewlett-Packard CEO, failed Senate candidate, failed presidential candidate, and failed vice-presidential candidate Carly Fiorina will not.