The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)

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Chatham County still has half to report and the margin is huge for Kingston. I don't think this should be called yet.

If I'm counting correctly, Kingston would get about 12K more votes from Chatham if the next half of the results from the county are the same as the first. Just one Atlanta suburb (either Cobb or Gwinnett) could give Perdue almost that many votes.

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Georgia stations are starting to call it for perdue

Which ones?

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AP calls CD10 for Hice. Ugh.

RIP any respect left for our state

>implying michelle nunn can't salvage it if perdue wins

All a Nunn win tells me is that a candidate could somehow win without staking out a firm position on anything and by being the daughter of a good senator. In other words, a Nunn win just means that family names are still important in GA.

[Never]

AP calls CD10 for Hice. Ugh.

RIP any respect left for our state

>implying michelle nunn can't salvage it if perdue wins

All a Nunn win tells me is that a candidate could somehow win without staking out a firm position on anything and by being the daughter of a good senator. In other words, a Nunn win just means that family names are still important in GA.

Oh come on, you know it'd mean more than that. Refusal to acknowledge things like this is why y'all keep watching states fall.

I like Michelle Nunn as a person, but she doesn't have much substance on policy from what I'm looking at. If candidates can get away with that, fine, but that's really all I can say right now about this race should she win in November. I mean, Pryor and Landrieu still have a chance, but is either state trending Democratic like Georgia could?

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Taking an average of the last three polls gives Nunn a 1.7% lead over Kingston and a 2.7% lead over Perdue. If things stay as they are, Nunn will get the easier race.

Perdue is stronger in North Georgia than Kingston could ever be, which might counteract any benefit that Nunn has from facing Perdue. Plus, the polls (Landmark, for one) haven't been the best in the state.

[Never]

AP calls CD10 for Hice. Ugh.

RIP any respect left for our state

>implying michelle nunn can't salvage it if perdue wins

All a Nunn win tells me is that a candidate could somehow win without staking out a firm position on anything and by being the daughter of a good senator. In other words, a Nunn win just means that family names are still important in GA.

Oh come on, you know it'd mean more than that. Refusal to acknowledge things like this is why y'all keep watching states fall.

I like Michelle Nunn as a person, but she doesn't have much substance on policy from what I'm looking at. If candidates can get away with that, fine, but that's really all I can say right now about this race should she win in November. I mean, Pryor and Landrieu still have a chance, but is either state trending Democratic like Georgia could?

I was referring to the bolded part.

Okay, if Sam Nunn weren't Michelle's father, would she really have much of a chance? She doesn't come from a career path that produces very many politicians.

[Never]

AP calls CD10 for Hice. Ugh.

RIP any respect left for our state

>implying michelle nunn can't salvage it if perdue wins

All a Nunn win tells me is that a candidate could somehow win without staking out a firm position on anything and by being the daughter of a good senator. In other words, a Nunn win just means that family names are still important in GA.

Oh come on, you know it'd mean more than that. Refusal to acknowledge things like this is why y'all keep watching states fall.

I like Michelle Nunn as a person, but she doesn't have much substance on policy from what I'm looking at. If candidates can get away with that, fine, but that's really all I can say right now about this race should she win in November. I mean, Pryor and Landrieu still have a chance, but is either state trending Democratic like Georgia could?

I was referring to the bolded part.

If Sam Nunn weren't Michelle's father, would she really have much of a chance? She doesn't come from a career path that produces very many politicians.

Maybe not, because Georgia is horribly inelastic. What I meant is that the changes that are coming to the state are being projected a cycle or two early in this race because of who she is, but that the changes are coming nonetheless. Republicans ignore demographics; that's kind of what it sounded like you were saying ("Georgia's only competitive because Nunn/it's still our state"). Yeah, for the immediate future. She makes the race more elastic than it otherwise could be and can build a coalition of voters to bridge the gap in 2014. Come 2016, 2018, 2020 and on, you'll be able to do it without a legacy candidate.

A Democrat winning without a family name could happen. At the very least, I wouldn't rule out Hillary winning GA and pulling a Generic Democrat over the top against Isakson. I guess that I should have been clearer on demographics; no doubt Georgia is getting more diverse to the benefit of Democrats, but Nunn winning this year wouldn't automatically tell me that the state is tipping, because she is a unique candidate in her own right. I'd want to see what happens in 2016. I don't think that it's going to be as Republican as it is for long; it could end up being Tilt R like NC or even a tossup, but I don't really know one way or another what will happen down there. I'm not terribly confident about Georgia staying in our column in the long-term, especially since the Republicans down there seem so lackluster.

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KS Sen: Roberts 52, Wolf 39 with 0.1% reporting.

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^ Looks like he's leading Bentivolio 65-34.

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KS-04: Pompeo leading Tiahart 66-34

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KS-01: Huelskamp leading LaPolice 54-45 according to NYT.

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KS-Sen: Roberts 52.2, Wolf 37.6, apparently Roberts is leading in every county that has started reporting, but still <1% in.

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KS-Sen: Roberts 53.1, Wolf 36.9 - 0.5% reporting.

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Wow, AoSHQDD calls it for Roberts.

A bit early, but Roberts does have a clear advantage now.

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AOS now calling MI-01 for Benishek.

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Wow, AoSHQDD calls it for Roberts.

A bit early, but Roberts does have a clear advantage now.

Thats gotta be some sort of a record for a (at least semi) competitive race.

They only have .37% is in!

They have a reputation for calling fast, but this seems to be too early. It's probably a record for them.

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MI-03: Amash 54.1, Ellis 45.9. 6% in.

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^ Looks like Amash is at 55.5% districtwide. He should hold on.

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Nate Cohn says that Roberts should win KS-Sen primary, but that AP will be slow in calling it. Wolf is behind in both rural and suburban areas at this point.

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MI-03: Amash steadily gaining ground, now leading Ellis 56-43 per AOSHQDD.

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Huelskamp only up 51/49 (!).

Looks like that race is the major nail-biter tonight.

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Huelskamp only up 51/49 (!).

This is LaPolice, open up!

lol

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^ Looks like Huelskamp has a long night ahead of him.

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^ No surprise there.

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Huelskamp is leading LaPolice by about 120 votes in KS-01.