The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI) (user search)
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  The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI) (search mode)
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Author Topic: The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)  (Read 147667 times)
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #150 on: August 05, 2014, 08:39:28 PM »

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Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #151 on: August 05, 2014, 08:45:29 PM »

Pompeo looks like he'll be winning his seat. Surprisingly, Huelskamp is in more trouble. Who is LaPolice anyway?

Pro-compromise Republican with no prior political experience. Served in Desert Storm then did something in public education.

Pretty crazy that a pro-compromise Republican stands a chance at unseating a Tea Party incumbent in an R+22 district.

Indeed, it's strange.
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #152 on: August 05, 2014, 08:49:36 PM »

AOS projects that Moolenaar wins MI-04
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #153 on: August 05, 2014, 09:05:23 PM »

Looks like the MI and KS races have sorted themselves out for the most part. WA-04 should be interesting when the polls close there.
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #154 on: August 05, 2014, 09:09:54 PM »

Looks like the MI and KS races have sorted themselves out for the most part. WA-04 should be interesting when the polls close there.

Not sure that this is the case; Hobbs/Lawrence and Huelskamp/LaPolice can both definitely still go either way.

Hobbs/Lawerence is still competitive, but Huelskamp seems like he is gradually increasing his lead as the night goes on.
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #155 on: August 05, 2014, 10:25:46 PM »

With 2 precincts in in WA-4, Didier is out at 47%, Newhouse at 17%, Newbry at 10%, the two Democrats at 7% each, and everyone else below 5%. Very early, of course.

EDIT: No point to a new post; with 20 precincts in, Didier is down to 36%, Newhouse is up to 22%, Beltran at 11%, Cicotte at 10%, Sandoval 7%, Newbry 6%. Everyone else below 5.

Didier and Newhouse seem like they have the best chances at ending up in the top-two slot, but this race seems like one of the harder ones to predict.
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #156 on: August 05, 2014, 10:28:05 PM »

AOS just called one of the WA-04 spots for Didier.
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #157 on: August 05, 2014, 10:51:08 PM »

WA-4 could have the potential to have two republicans. This is one of the safest districts in the west anyway though.

That would be nice. Newhouse (at 29% according to AOS) does have a clear lead over all of his opponents, so he should make it out of the primary after it's all said and done.
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #158 on: August 05, 2014, 10:55:49 PM »

According to AOSHQDD, many ballots in WA-04 will take a few days to call:
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #159 on: August 05, 2014, 11:06:30 PM »

AOS calls the second spot for Newhouse in WA-04, meaning that race will have two Republicans on the ballot in November.
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E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #160 on: August 09, 2014, 11:30:46 PM »

Civil Beat says first printout won't come in until 7PM Hawaii time (1 AM eastern).
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E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #161 on: August 09, 2014, 11:59:16 PM »

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E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #162 on: August 10, 2014, 12:01:16 AM »

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Posts: 1,623
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E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #163 on: August 10, 2014, 12:06:26 AM »

If Ige's lead holds, I don't think Hanabusa should really lose that much ground.
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« Reply #164 on: August 10, 2014, 12:12:57 AM »

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^ She definitely has the edge.
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Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #165 on: August 10, 2014, 12:23:17 AM »

DailyKos says next printout will be at 8:00 p.m. Hawaii time, 2:00 a.m. Eastern.
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E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #166 on: August 10, 2014, 12:29:59 AM »

Hanabusa 50.3%, Schatz 48% per Politico.
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Posts: 1,623
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E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #167 on: August 10, 2014, 12:59:41 AM »

Hanabusa currently leads in Honolulu 49-49.
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