The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI) (user search)
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  The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI) (search mode)
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Author Topic: The 2014 primary season ends (Sept. 9: DE, MA, NH, NY, RI)  (Read 148592 times)
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Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #75 on: June 24, 2014, 08:03:12 PM »

MS-Sen: AP with 14.9% of precincts in and Cochran at 55.4%, and McDaniel at 44.6%.
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #76 on: June 24, 2014, 08:04:10 PM »

If Cochran wins, this month will be really bad for the pundit conventional wisdom.

Cochran is expected to win outright. Wrong.
Cantor is expected to coast to victory. Wrong.
McDaniel's energized base of Tea Partiers was supposed to propel him to victory in a lower turnout run-off. Wrong.

Good point.
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #77 on: June 24, 2014, 08:08:41 PM »

MS-Sen: AP with 20.5% of precincts in and Cochran at 54.5%, McDaniel at 45.5%.
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #78 on: June 24, 2014, 08:13:06 PM »

MS-Sen: AP with 26.5% of precincts in and Cochran at 55.2%, McDaniel at 44.8%.
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #79 on: June 24, 2014, 08:15:05 PM »

MS-Sen: AP with 30.7% of precincts in and Cochran at 53.9%, McDaniel at 46.1%.
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #80 on: June 24, 2014, 08:18:27 PM »


CO just recently changed over to the mail-ballot.

MS-Sen: AP with 34% of precincts in and Cochran at 53.3%, McDaniel at 46.7%.
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #81 on: June 24, 2014, 08:20:28 PM »

MS-Sen: AP with 37.7% of precincts in and Cochran at 53.5%, McDaniel at 46.5%.
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #82 on: June 24, 2014, 08:23:35 PM »

MS-Sen: AP with 41.6% of precincts in and Cochran at 53.4%, McDaniel at 46.6%.
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #83 on: June 24, 2014, 08:26:27 PM »

MS-Sen: AP with 45.5% of precincts in and Cochran at 52.7%, McDaniel at 47.3%.
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #84 on: June 24, 2014, 08:32:14 PM »

AP with 49.2% of precincts in and Cochran at 52.4%, McDaniel at 47.6%.
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #85 on: June 24, 2014, 08:36:07 PM »

MS-Sen: AP with 53.3% (over half!) of precincts in and Cochran at 52%, McDaniel at 48%.
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #86 on: June 24, 2014, 08:38:36 PM »

MS-Sen: AP with 58% of precincts in and Cochran at 52.3%, McDaniel at 47.7%.
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Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #87 on: June 24, 2014, 08:42:12 PM »

^ The race seems to be tightening...
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #88 on: June 24, 2014, 08:44:43 PM »

MS-Sen: AP with 67.1% of precincts in and Cochran at 52.4%, McDaniel at 47.6%.
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #89 on: June 24, 2014, 08:48:19 PM »

MS-Sen: AP with 69.3% of precincts in and Cochran at 52.2%, McDaniel at 47.8%.
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #90 on: June 24, 2014, 08:50:32 PM »

MS-Sen: AP with 72.7% of precincts in and Cochran at 50.9%, McDaniel at 49.1%.
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E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #91 on: June 24, 2014, 08:57:52 PM »

It looks like Cochran might pull this off, but I'm not ruling out a comeback by McDaniel.
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E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #92 on: June 24, 2014, 09:00:11 PM »


Good for Cochran. I hope this call is accurate.
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Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #93 on: June 24, 2014, 09:02:49 PM »

AOS has it at 51.42% Cochran, 48.58% McDaniel.
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #94 on: June 24, 2014, 09:04:23 PM »

AOSHQDD calls CO-Gov for Beauprez. I'm breathing a sigh of relief on this race.  

EDIT: Wrong thread, sorry!
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E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #95 on: June 24, 2014, 09:13:02 PM »

Yay! Lankford wins! I was worried about this race when a runoff would have just led to a Shannon win and a Republican nomination would have led to a Republican Senator. So even though Lankford is by far one of the worst party-line, hard-line conservatives out there, at least Republicans lost their fuel at an opportunity for another black Senator on their side before 2016 comes around.
What the Christ?

It's not like us Republicans are electing black Republican senators as trophies or anything. Still, the GOP is looking pretty good with a 1/1 split in black senators with the Democrats, considering >90% of African-Americans consistently vote Democratic.
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Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #96 on: June 24, 2014, 09:17:03 PM »

Yay! Lankford wins! I was worried about this race when a runoff would have just led to a Shannon win and a Republican nomination would have led to a Republican Senator. So even though Lankford is by far one of the worst party-line, hard-line conservatives out there, at least Republicans lost their fuel at an opportunity for another black Senator on their side before 2016 comes around.
What the Christ?

It's not like us Republicans are electing black Republican senators as trophies or anything. Still, the GOP is looking pretty good with a 1/1 split in black senators with the Democrats, considering >90% of African-Americans consistently vote Democratic.

Um, it's that second statistic we kinda need work on.....

Of course, but we have to start somewhere. Cheesy
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Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #97 on: June 24, 2014, 09:25:18 PM »

Yay! Lankford wins! I was worried about this race when a runoff would have just led to a Shannon win and a Republican nomination would have led to a Republican Senator. So even though Lankford is by far one of the worst party-line, hard-line conservatives out there, at least Republicans lost their fuel at an opportunity for another black Senator on their side before 2016 comes around.
What the Christ?

It's not like us Republicans are electing black Republican senators as trophies or anything. Still, the GOP is looking pretty good with a 1/1 split in black senators with the Democrats, considering >90% of African-Americans consistently vote Democratic.

Um, it's that second statistic we kinda need work on.....

We got 20% of the young black male vote In 2012, so there that's a good sign of things to come.

Um, no.


Why is it not :confused:

Let me answer your question with a question: Can you provide a link to your shocking and universally disagreed with premise that one in 5 "young black men" voted for Romney over Obama?

Unless that poll was taken at the Black College Republicans convention, I don't buy it.

I'm going to step in on this one for Alreet. It looks like the poll I'm citing is from Pew Research:

That statistic is probably true (it looks like Romney won 19% of young black voters), but we're not absolutely sure. I admit, it's also important to remember that young black men are a small subset of the electorate to begin with, so the information that we obtain from polls on this group might not be precise. Still, Pew is a reliable outlet.
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Never
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Jr. Member
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Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #98 on: June 24, 2014, 09:27:33 PM »

McDaniel has to get 2/3 of the remaining vote to win.

It looks like Cochran has this.
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Never
Never Convinced
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,623
Political Matrix
E: 4.65, S: 3.30

« Reply #99 on: June 24, 2014, 09:31:17 PM »

Yay! Lankford wins! I was worried about this race when a runoff would have just led to a Shannon win and a Republican nomination would have led to a Republican Senator. So even though Lankford is by far one of the worst party-line, hard-line conservatives out there, at least Republicans lost their fuel at an opportunity for another black Senator on their side before 2016 comes around.
What the Christ?

It's not like us Republicans are electing black Republican senators as trophies or anything. Still, the GOP is looking pretty good with a 1/1 split in black senators with the Democrats, considering >90% of African-Americans consistently vote Democratic.

Um, it's that second statistic we kinda need work on.....

We got 20% of the young black male vote In 2012, so there that's a good sign of things to come.

Um, no.


Why is it not :confused:

Let me answer your question with a question: Can you provide a link to your shocking and universally disagreed with premise that one in 5 "young black men" voted for Romney over Obama?

Unless that poll was taken at the Black College Republicans convention, I don't buy it.

I'm going to step in on this one for Alreet. It looks like the poll I'm citing is from Pew Research:

That statistic is probably true (it looks like Romney won 19% of young black voters), but we're not absolutely sure. I admit, it's also important to remember that young black men are a small subset of the electorate to begin with, so the information that we obtain from polls on this group might not be precise. Still, Pew is a reliable outlet.

Ah, tiny sub-sample MoE. My second guess after pure BS.

Pew is reputable, but anyone who thinks 1 in 5 young black males voted for Romney over Obama is frankly deluded, and our party has enough of those type already.

Yeah, on second thought I suppose it does sound too good to be true, and besides, winning only 1 out of 5 of any group is still not that good.
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