WV - Lean D (Capito wouldn't be running)
Capito announced before Jay retired, IIRC. Jay was very vulnerable in early polling.
She announced right after he announced his retirement. If Rockefeller hadn't retired, and there hadn't been the impression of him wanting to retire (coal speech, etc), she wouldn't have ran. Capito is a cautious politician and wouldn't have wanted to enter a chancy race. Lean D because we don't know if McKinley would have given it a shot.
Capito started running well before Rockefeller retired.
Shelly Moore Capito announced her candidacy on
November 26, 2012.
Senator Rockefeller didn't announce his retirement until
January 11, 2013.