Canadian federal election - October 19, 2015 (Official Campaign Thread)

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Yes, and the Lib demos issue's stemmed from the fact a large portion of their base naively considered them "labour but nicer" so they were ruffled from the onset with a coalition with the Tories. Polls during this campaign suggests most liberal and NdP voters consider the other party as an ideal second choice -

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Don't NDP leaders tend to stick around forever?

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NDP seems to be panicking for its Quebec seats:

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/ndp-offers-quebec-right-to-opt-out-of-federally-funded-programs/article26637085/

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Man, imagine how high the liberals would be in Ontario if Tim Hudak had won the last election?

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Sad. Canada seemed to be the one country where conservatives, no matter their flaws, were at least egalitarian enough to have a diverse base. Deeply disappointing.

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Tbh from what I've seen,the Dipper campaign has been so mediocre and bland, I might be tempted to vote Liberal over them. At least we could get stoned, and amuse ourselves with Justin's wacky hijinks in power.

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Are there any provincial parties that have stayed dead? The Sask one is the only one I can think of.

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The other prairie parties are dead.

Well Alberta's is just clinging on to existence, but they've been kicked down a few other times and returned, so I wouldn't quite pronounce them deceased yet. And Manitoba's liberals are polling fairly high - reaching the 20's - although that might be an illusion I guess.

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Taking of the TPP, why are Canadians and alllpolitical parties, so attached to this "supply management" policy? It seems very archaic.

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Liberals invented it, NDP are their usual trade selves, and Tories are too incrementalist.

But why is the Canadian public so attached to the success of a small group of coddled dairy farmers?

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Some guy on reddit is going through every riding and making a detailed post on them and their history. Pretty interesting and he/she has currently slogged their way through the Atlantic, Quebec and most of Ontario:

https://www.reddit.com/r/CanadaPolitics/comments/3nl07d/ridingbyriding_overview_and_discussion_part_6d/

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Yeah all the regional breakdowns seem kind of fishy in that last poll.

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Will the bloc actually rebound in seats? Ugh.

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If you love polling data, be prepared to be amazed:



Liberals doing very well in the "riding clusters" being only 8 points behind in the "blowout CPC win" category, neck and neck in the "strong CPC win", fairly competitive in those categorised as CPC-NDP races, winning in "NDP blowouts" and blowing away the "three way races".

There is also some sub regional analysis in there at pages 44 onwards

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But minorities are where the fun happens

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Could Leslie herself be in danger, considering the Liberals are expected to romp the Atlantic?

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How factional are the three main parties? I'm wondering about the potential for post-election infighting, especially amongst the Tories and Oranges.

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Don't they sort of go their own way up north?