Which states will the GOP win? (user search)
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  Which states will the GOP win? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Which senate seats will the GOP pick up in November?
#1
Montana
 
#2
South Dakota
 
#3
West Virginia
 
#4
Iowa
 
#5
North Carolina
 
#6
Alaska
 
#7
Arkansas
 
#8
Louisiana
 
#9
New Hampshire
 
#10
Colorado
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 63

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Which states will the GOP win?  (Read 3227 times)
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« on: August 16, 2014, 07:21:05 PM »

Anyone who thinks the GOP will not gain at least above 4 seats is in denial. But just how many will they? Will it lead to a majority? Discuss!
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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #1 on: August 16, 2014, 07:28:10 PM »


That seems to be the "safest" bet, but what about Iowa with Braley being a dick, or North Carolina with Tillis surging after kissing up to teachers?
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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #2 on: August 16, 2014, 07:32:58 PM »


That seems to be the "safest" bet, but what about Iowa with Braley being a dick, or North Carolina with Tillis surging after kissing up to teachers?

 who voted for New Hampshire?
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #3 on: August 16, 2014, 07:33:42 PM »

Why is everyone calling Ernst insane?
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #4 on: August 16, 2014, 08:15:08 PM »


Iowa and North Carolina thoughts?
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #5 on: August 16, 2014, 11:49:10 PM »

GOP will win all except North Carolina and New Hampshire. I'd love for Mark Pryor and Mary Landrieu to hold on, but that doesn't look like it will happen. Alaska will be a tossup no matter who comes out of the primary (except Miller), so I can't make a prediction about that. Scott Brown in New Hampshire has successfully portrayed himself as a Masshole and a carpetbagger, and won't win barring a GOP wave. In North Carolina, Tillis is just to terrible of a nominee to beat any Democrat.  predict Colorado will swing back to the GOP's column eventually. All incumbent Republicans will win reelection, thus amounting to a net change of GOP+8/9

Can we lay off the crack cocaine, please?

Hey this guy was a Democrat for a while and is in a family of Dems, making him more independent than anything. Don't go bashing him on partisan lines for making a non-biased prediction you hack. 
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #6 on: August 16, 2014, 11:59:56 PM »

GOP will win all except North Carolina and New Hampshire. I'd love for Mark Pryor and Mary Landrieu to hold on, but that doesn't look like it will happen. Alaska will be a tossup no matter who comes out of the primary (except Miller), so I can't make a prediction about that. Scott Brown in New Hampshire has successfully portrayed himself as a Masshole and a carpetbagger, and won't win barring a GOP wave. In North Carolina, Tillis is just to terrible of a nominee to beat any Democrat.  predict Colorado will swing back to the GOP's column eventually. All incumbent Republicans will win reelection, thus amounting to a net change of GOP+8/9

Can we lay off the crack cocaine, please?

Hey this guy was a Democrat for a while and is in a family of Dems, making him more independent than anything. Don't go bashing him on partisan lines for making a non-biased prediction you hack. 

To be fair I think the Democrat he was and the Democrats in his family are a bit different than the national Democrats.

Oh and as to what Dixiecrat originally wrote, I think that even in a Republican wave Brown would still lose. Especially at this point.

You mean ultra partisan snobs who treat everyone with a D next to their name like a swell guy and have a football team mentality? Hence why I just switched sides
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #7 on: August 17, 2014, 12:30:24 AM »

GOP will win all except North Carolina and New Hampshire. I'd love for Mark Pryor and Mary Landrieu to hold on, but that doesn't look like it will happen. Alaska will be a tossup no matter who comes out of the primary (except Miller), so I can't make a prediction about that. Scott Brown in New Hampshire has successfully portrayed himself as a Masshole and a carpetbagger, and won't win barring a GOP wave. In North Carolina, Tillis is just to terrible of a nominee to beat any Democrat.  predict Colorado will swing back to the GOP's column eventually. All incumbent Republicans will win reelection, thus amounting to a net change of GOP+8/9

Can we lay off the crack cocaine, please?

Hey this guy was a Democrat for a while and is in a family of Dems, making him more independent than anything. Don't go bashing him on partisan lines for making a non-biased prediction you hack. 

To be fair I think the Democrat he was and the Democrats in his family are a bit different than the national Democrats.

Oh and as to what Dixiecrat originally wrote, I think that even in a Republican wave Brown would still lose. Especially at this point.

You mean ultra partisan snobs who treat everyone with a D next to their name like a swell guy and have a football team mentality? Hence why I just switched sides

But that is how National Politics works. You cheer on people in your own party.

That doesn't mean it's right
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #8 on: August 17, 2014, 10:24:32 AM »

IMHO, GOP will pick up MT, SD, WV and AR. For the moment, I not say LA because if the Dems will win the Senate in November, Landrieu can win in December, because of a probably lack of commitment by the GOP.
Between 2 days there will be the GOP primary in AK and I think that the Republican candidate (if it will be Miller, this race will be Likely D) will have a bounce post primary, but Begich is still favored to win, because of his strong campaign.
Attention because a surprise from IA/AK/CO is possible, but at the moment I think that Braley and Udall are favored to win.

Bit pessimistic. What makes you like that?
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #9 on: August 17, 2014, 09:17:42 PM »
« Edited: August 17, 2014, 09:23:17 PM by FreedomHawk »

With Obama's approval stuck near 40%, I optimistically predict the GOP will pick up all the seats except NH

Too bad polling doesn't seem to be on your side in that argument.

The question is not who is leading in the polls today, but who will win in Nov.  
I assume the Democrats and Obama will be taking the bulk of the blame for the failed policies in Iraq, Syria, Libya etc, the continued poor economy, the mess at the border, the proposed amnesty by executive fiat, etc, etc,  With nothing getting better Nov will be a time to throw the bums out....

I'd rather throw the bums out who believe that science and history is wrong.

Better than the Machiavellian dictator of a majority leader that refuses to get anything done and uses the GOP to blame for that due to his own Hyperpartisanship. And what makes you think that all Democrats aren't Christians that deny science?
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #10 on: August 17, 2014, 09:18:19 PM »

With Obama's approval stuck near 40%, I optimistically predict the GOP will pick up all the seats except NH

Pessimistically?
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Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #11 on: August 17, 2014, 09:19:29 PM »

Optimistically I would say 7 (MT, SD, WV, AR, LA, NC, IA). Pessimistically I'd say 3 (just MT, SD, and WV)

I am basically this
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #12 on: August 18, 2014, 01:37:09 AM »

With Obama's approval stuck near 40%, I optimistically predict the GOP will pick up all the seats except NH

Too bad polling doesn't seem to be on your side in that argument.

The question is not who is leading in the polls today, but who will win in Nov.  
I assume the Democrats and Obama will be taking the bulk of the blame for the failed policies in Iraq, Syria, Libya etc, the continued poor economy, the mess at the border, the proposed amnesty by executive fiat, etc, etc,  With nothing getting better Nov will be a time to throw the bums out....

I'd rather throw the bums out who believe that science and history is wrong.

Better than the Machiavellian dictator of a majority leader that refuses to get anything done and uses the GOP to blame for that due to his own Hyperpartisanship. And what makes you think that all Democrats aren't Christians that deny science?

First of all you need to take a good long look at John Boehner and realize that he and Harry Reid are both sides of the same coin.

Secondly, there are Democrats who don't believe in evolution obviously, but that doesn't mean our state parties are endorsing banning the teaching of it or our national party calling US history textbooks biased.

Boehner sucks too. Just because he is a Republican doesn't mean I like him. I fully support Gowdy for Speaker
Logged
Free Bird
TheHawk
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,917
United States


Political Matrix
E: 0.84, S: -5.48

« Reply #13 on: August 19, 2014, 05:15:54 PM »

SD, WV, MT, AR, LA, and IA or NC. I think Begich holds, as does Udall. Toss-up between Ernst or Tillis winning the sixth seat.

Why not both?

By the way thanks for being one of the few non-panicky Dems here in this situation
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