Democratic Acela Corridor Tuesday results thread (all polls close at 8pm ET) (user search)
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  Democratic Acela Corridor Tuesday results thread (all polls close at 8pm ET) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Democratic Acela Corridor Tuesday results thread (all polls close at 8pm ET)  (Read 17798 times)
Xing
xingkerui
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Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« on: April 26, 2016, 12:48:17 PM »
Quote from: Castro on April 26, 2016, 11:56:30 AM
Benchmark Politics final benchmarks:



Seems a little bullish on Clinton in CT, but these seem like plausible results.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,310
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #1 on: April 26, 2016, 12:55:59 PM »
I'm curious whether that's better news for Sestak or McGinty.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
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Posts: 30,310
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #2 on: April 26, 2016, 03:36:54 PM »
Man, I hope there are a lot of Clinton/Sestak voters. I'd rather see Sanders get swept than see McGinty win...
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,310
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #3 on: April 26, 2016, 06:02:08 PM »
La la la ignoring everything but the actual votes, la la la...
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,310
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #4 on: April 26, 2016, 08:13:41 PM »
Sanders has been effectively done for over a month. I'm glad that after most folks thought a Clinton sweep was the most likely result, he's likely to win RI, and has a good shot in CT. Anyone know why the upshot has Clinton only winning PA by 3 points?
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,310
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #5 on: April 26, 2016, 08:14:21 PM »
No sweep tonight! At least not on this side of the aisle.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,310
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #6 on: April 26, 2016, 08:22:48 PM »
If you guys think the map looks ugly now, imagine how ugly it'll look if Sanders wins IN, KY, or WV...
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,310
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #7 on: April 26, 2016, 08:49:11 PM »
Wow, this site is failing. Anyway, I think Clinton probably has CT, though it won't be by much. My 51-48 prediction is looking spot on for CT. Also, wow, after all the talk about how Providence would deliver RI for Clinton, I did not expect Sanders to win Providence! Also, McGinty... Sad
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,310
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #8 on: April 26, 2016, 09:03:58 PM »
Quote from: Gass3268 on April 26, 2016, 08:58:23 PM
No longer projecting KY and WV for Sanders.

He's winning two of the Western MD counties.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,310
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #9 on: April 26, 2016, 09:19:10 PM »
They just corrected Greenwich. It's now 68-31 Clinton.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,310
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #10 on: April 26, 2016, 09:22:47 PM »
Quote from: Silent Cal on April 26, 2016, 09:19:37 PM
Is Connecticut going to end up like Massachusetts 2.0?Huh

Yes, most likely. Well, at least this wasn't as bad as March 15th for us Sanders folks. We got a pity win this time.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,310
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #11 on: April 26, 2016, 09:28:54 PM »
McGinty has won. F##K! Congrats, Toomey.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,310
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #12 on: April 26, 2016, 09:33:54 PM »
Quote from: Fusionmunster on April 26, 2016, 09:32:08 PM
Cenk is already talking about primarying Hillary in 2020.  Ana is basically saying she'll vote for Trump as a big screw you...these people are deranged.

In other news, black voters in MD supported Clinton.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,310
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #13 on: April 26, 2016, 09:41:52 PM »

Just wait until IN/WV/KY. If Sanders wins any of these, the map will look much worse.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,310
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #14 on: April 26, 2016, 09:49:31 PM »
Quote from: IceSpear on April 26, 2016, 09:42:31 PM
Wasn't Massachusetts already going to make the map pretty ugly?

Not if Clinton had won RI. Anyway, the map still looks okay, I think it would've actually looked worse if Sanders had won CT.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,310
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #15 on: April 26, 2016, 09:54:07 PM »
Quote from: Holmes on April 26, 2016, 09:50:44 PM
Eh, McGinty's not bad. With Trump at the top of the ticket, she'll win by about 4-5%. Bookmark this for the general.

If Clinton wins PA by enough, then yes, she probably carries McGinty over the top too, but I think Democrats definitely hurt their chances in a critical race tonight.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,310
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #16 on: April 26, 2016, 10:22:11 PM »
Since Sanders prevented a sweep and came somewhat close in CT, I don't think he'll be dropping out until June 7th, and since Clinton will likely be held to 11-12 points in PA, she has pretty much no chance of clinching the nomination before then.  Sanders could have a good May, but of course that won't make a difference.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,310
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #17 on: April 26, 2016, 10:35:56 PM »
As I expected, they're giving their supporters a chance to voice their support for Bernie, then effectively bowing out after California, or maybe D.C. He probably should've taken this approach after March 15th, but better late than never, I suppose.
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,310
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #18 on: April 26, 2016, 10:58:35 PM »
^I can't see DE either. I guess it must've gone for Sanders too. Tongue
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Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,310
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
« Reply #19 on: April 27, 2016, 12:09:18 AM »
Hopefully Bernie toning it down will lead to his less pleasant supporters also toning it down, and perhaps he's giving them some time for reality to sink in. As I've said, I want Sanders to stay in until June, so that his supporters all get their chance to vote for him. After that, I'm 100% ready for Hillary.
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