Why are y'all predicting a Hofer win ?
All around the West, we're seeing a backlash against globalization and cultural diversity. Nationalism, nativism, and xenophobia are on the rise (well, xenophobia is more detectable, and less beneath the surface than it used to be), allowing extremists to come to power by exploiting the fears of people who feel threatened change and "the other". I'd love to see Van der Bellen win, and for Austria to withstand that backlash, but I can't get myself to hold out too much hope.