DSCC: Republicans are winning Romney states. They will lose many seats in 2016

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

My guess is that the republicans will lose at least 2 of IL, PA, WI in 2016. They'll also lose at least 1 of FL, NH, MO, OH, NC. Retirements may also put GA, AZ, KY, IA, AR into play, and AK could be competitive should Murkowski lose the primary again but decline to do another write-in campaign. So essentially, Republicans best case scenario is a loss of 3, but their worst case scenario is a loss of 14.

However, they will pick up Nevada if Sandoval runs, they will pick up Colorado (a rare Obama state where Hillary will have little, if any coattails) as long as they get a good candidate, and retirements/excellent candidates could put OR, WA, CT into play.

So, at this very early stage, I can really see anything from net GOP +2, to net DEM +13. We'll just have to see where the cards fall, and the DSCC should not be counting on a big senatorial night (Gaining say, 5 or more net) in 2016.