Rothenberg Early Presidential Ratings

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Toss-Up:

CO
FL
OH
VA

Tilt D:

NH
WI

Lean D:

IA
PA

Likely D:

MI
MN
NM
NV
OR

Tilt R:

NC

Likely R:

AZ
GA
IN
MO

Everything Else is Safe for the party that won it in 2012. In total, there are 263 electoral votes at least tilting toward the democrats and 206 at least tilting toward the republicans, with 69 electoral votes in the Toss-Up Category.


http://www.rothenberggonzales.com/ratings/president

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Repeat 2012 unless one sees evidence to the contrary.

The main difference is moving NV out of the battlegrounds. It will be interesting to see if either side spends money there this time.

But the list does show the GOP challenge with so many states in the battleground being must win or at least semi-must win.

Eh, the winner of the presidential election tends to get all the tossups.

Nah, not all of them:

Toss-Up States won by Romney 2012: NC
Toss-Up States won by McCain 2008: MT, MO (both were considered Toss-Ups in '08)
Toss-Up States won by Kerry 2004: PA, OR, MI, MN, WI (again, all of these were considered Toss-Ups in '04)
Toss-Up States won by Gore 2000: see 2004