NV-4: Horsford out (user search)
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  NV-4: Horsford out (search mode)
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Author Topic: NV-4: Horsford out  (Read 1339 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,934
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« on: March 18, 2015, 05:54:32 PM »

So the Democrats will run Lucy Flores in that case? Probably a bit easier on Hardy, though it's still difficult to see him winning.

Yea, I can't imagine this district not having a strong Dem bench. But this announcement gives Hardy a boost in chances of holding the seat (from like 5% to 10%, but still).
More like 30%, if not slightly higher. Sabato, who ended up doing quite well (aside from governors, which nobody predicted well) last year despite the bashing on him here, has this at Toss-Up.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,934
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: March 18, 2015, 07:38:21 PM »

So the Democrats will run Lucy Flores in that case? Probably a bit easier on Hardy, though it's still difficult to see him winning.

Yea, I can't imagine this district not having a strong Dem bench. But this announcement gives Hardy a boost in chances of holding the seat (from like 5% to 10%, but still).
More like 30%, if not slightly higher. Sabato, who ended up doing quite well (aside from governors, which nobody predicted well) last year despite the bashing on him here, has this at Toss-Up.
Didn't he have this race as Safe D at this point in the 2014 cycle?
Likely D, and he switched it to Lean D later in the cycle.
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