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Author Topic: Bold Prediction  (Read 7832 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,934
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« on: June 28, 2015, 06:24:03 PM »

Since saying Democrats win say Ohio or New Hampshire isn't particularly bold, I'll say that Kander beats Blunt in Missouri, Arizona gets the "Lugar" treatment, and Indiana ends up with 2 Democratic Senators and a Democratic Governor.

I can confidently say that this will not happen.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,934
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #1 on: June 28, 2015, 07:33:51 PM »

Remember 2013 when the only question was how many Senate seats would flip in the Hillary landslide... Winning back the Senate was considered a no-brainer due to her coattails.

2013 was a terrible year for predictions. Christie looked like a good presidential contender, Mark Udall seemed to be a near lock for reelection, the 2014 Michigan senate race looked like a Toss-Up, and Franken looked like a potential vulnerability for dems.

Since saying Democrats win say Ohio or New Hampshire isn't particularly bold, I'll say that Kander beats Blunt in Missouri, Arizona gets the "Lugar" treatment, and Indiana ends up with 2 Democratic Senators and a Democratic Governor.

I can confidently say that this will not happen.

Is that your bold prediction?

I suppose
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,934
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #2 on: July 02, 2015, 10:04:45 PM »


Still NH, though I think he's more likely to run for NH-1 than for Governor.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,934
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #3 on: July 07, 2015, 04:51:50 PM »

^ Hope not. Stutzman is a sort of tea-party zealot i really hate. And i would gladly prefer Donnelly over such type of Republican (in fact - any Republican to the right of Lugar, for sure) in 2018...

Donnelly probably has to work another miracle to be re-elected.

Yep. Donnelly, Heitkamp, McCaskill, Tester, and Manchin are all great senators and they will all earn my endorsement  (unless Kinder is the MO GOP Nominee), but all except Manchin are favored to lose, barring a D Wave or toxic R nominees.
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Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,934
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« Reply #4 on: July 07, 2015, 04:56:43 PM »

^ Hope not. Stutzman is a sort of tea-party zealot i really hate. And i would gladly prefer Donnelly over such type of Republican (in fact - any Republican to the right of Lugar, for sure) in 2018...

Donnelly probably has to work another miracle to be re-elected.

Yep. Donnelly, Heitkamp, McCaskill, Tester, and Manchin are all great senators and they will all earn my endorsement  (unless Kinder is the MO GOP Nominee), but all except Manchin are favored to lose, barring a D Wave or toxic R nominees.

Why would you endorse McCaskill? I mean, I like Donnelly and Heitkamp as well, but McCaskill is really not bipartisan.

I don't see Ann Wagner, John Brunner, or Sarah Steelman as any more bipartisan though. As I said, if (Lt. Gov.) Kinder is her opponent, I'll oppose her.
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