How Nate Silver Missed Donald Trump (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 01, 2024, 11:14:45 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  How Nate Silver Missed Donald Trump (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: How Nate Silver Missed Donald Trump  (Read 3581 times)
Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,933
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P
« on: January 27, 2016, 02:34:14 PM »

The idea behind the point system is that there are far fewer governors and senators than house members.

Silver admits that the model isn't perfect, because it doesn't take into account newspapers or state legislators. But he also notes that in every republican primary going back to at least 1980, the candidate who would have been leading under his metric just before Iowa went on to win the nomination every time.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.022 seconds with 12 queries.