Democratic Grand Finale Tuesday results thread (1st polls close @8pm ET)

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

What ?

Hillary was at 60-40 or something in CA on election night and could end at only 53-46 ?

There must have been a ton of ballots left to be counted ...

Yes, there were millions left to count after election night I believe.

Imagine if CA was decisive in the primary, or even worse, in the general election. I think their system is kind of ridiculous honestly. I know it's the most populous state, but does it REALLY take an entire month to count all the ballots?

Yeah. In an alternate universe where Bernie was the leader in pledged delegates and Hillary needed a full 53% of the vote to catch up among pledged delegates, we would literally be on pins and needles even now.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

After today:

Clinton 53.6% - 2,681,392
Sanders 45.5% - 2,274,540

Looking pretty likely that the Clinton margin will be under 400,000 when everything is in.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Any chance the margin rounds to 52-47 at the end?

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Clinton 53.5% - 2,690,831
Sanders 45.6% - 2,289,971

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Are all the other states done counting their ballots?  Judging by how everyone seems focused on California. 

The other states were done for all practical purposes by the morning after the election. Because CA is a a mail-in state and had such a large number of provisionals, a lot of votes come in long after the election, just like OR/WA. 

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Notable and/or Competitive (at least for 2nd place) congressional races:

CA-7: Ami Bera (D) is leading Scott Jones(R) by 8%. Bera looks pretty safe.

CA-8: We are on the verge of an R vs. R contest here, current results show incumbent Paul Cook(R) with 49,789 votes, Rita Ramirez (D) with 25,716 votes, and Tim Donnelly (R) with 24,420 votes. Some of you may remember that Donnelly ran for governor in 2014 but lost the 2nd ballot slot to Kashkari. Cook and Donnelly combine for 63% of the vote though, so the seat is Safe R regardless of whether Ramirez makes the general.

CA-10: Denham under 50%.....

CA-12: Nancy Pelosi's district. On election night it looked like she would face Bob Miller(R), but now Preston Picus (I) has 16,633 votes to Miller's 16,583. Barry Hermanson(G) has 14,289. San Francisco County is listed as only being done counting for the presidential, not for downballot, so this could still change. Every vote counts folks - at least this time. Pelosi's safe in November.

CA-17: What was a virtual tie on election night has now almost reached a full two point lead for Ro Khanna (D) over Mike Honda(D). With both D's under 40% and the third Democrat in the contest at just 4%, the November outcome will depend on what GOP voters do.

CA-21: Valadao has dropped all the way from 59% to 54% during the late ballot counting. He's probably not actually beatable, but we'll see.

CA-25: Knight under 50%.....

CA-26: Julia Brownley(D) had close races in 2012 and 2014, but this time she's fine - she won the primary 64-36.

CA-29 (all candidates are democrats): Richard Alarcon is still winning in the race to lose to Tony Cardenas, but not by a lot. Alarcon has 12,293 votes to Joseph Shammas's 10,757 and Benny Bernal's 9,916.

CA-31: The Democrats combine for only 54%. Keep an eye on this district in 2018.

CA-32: Grace Napolitano(D) is still waiting to find out whether she'll face a Democrat or a Republican. Roger Hernandez (D) has 26,170 votes to Gordon Fisher's(R) 25,471. This district isn't winnable for republicans, but considering Napolitano barely got a majority in the jungle, it is *potentially* a race to watch if it is D vs. D.

CA-36: Raul Ruiz(D) is up 58-32. He's not losing.

CA-37: Chris Wiggins(D) has 15,133 votes to Shariff Hasan's(R) 13,010 in the race to lose to Karen Bass(D).

CA-49: Late Ballots haven't changed election night's surprising outcome - Darrell Issa(R) is still up only 51-45.

CA-52: Scott Peters (D) is safe with his amazing 59% of the vote.

CA-53: Two republicans are battling over the right to lose to Susan Davis (D). James Veltmeyer has 24,758 votes to Jim Ash's 24,404.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Clinton 53.4% - 2,710,258
Sanders 45.7% - 2,321,852

#marginunder400k




The remaining counties will be hard at work next week, with at least 287,000 votes still to be reported.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Ventura finishes at 51.2-47.9 Clinton.

With El Dorado now Bernie, really hoping Placer flips for aesthetic reasons.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

^^ Toloumne and El Dorado are now Bernie. SOS is more up to date than Atlas.

The SOS total also does not update again until Tuesday. So anything reported locally is technically unofficial until then.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Did Clinton hold on to Calaveras county? it would really ruin the map

Calaveras has been in "CCC" status for over a week. She's got it.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Clinton 53.2% - 2,730,787
Sanders 45.9% - 2,357,175

There appears to be more votes to count; the unprocessed ballots report says 70,455 votes left; and the reporting status page lists several counties as still in "CCU" status, and one county is still in "FENU" status.

The website contradicts itself on whether an earlier deadline exists for the presidency than exists for other offices. No distinction is made here:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

http://vote.sos.ca.gov/

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Clinton - 2,724,903 - 53.1%
Sanders - 2,362,480 - 46.0%

Lake County has finally come in. I'm not sure whether Tulare is a glitch or not; but I'll assume it's real until corrected. 8 counties are still listed as "CCU" instead of "CCC".

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Sonoma County flips from Clinton to Sanders as the very last votes are being finally counted. Sanders wins it with 52% of the vote.

Only two counties are not in CCC status:

San Mateo (900 ballots left)
Yolo

However there are still around 8K ballots in Lake County that have not been processed. The final statewide result looks to be a 7 point Clinton win

53.1% Clinton
46.0% Sanders

The Unprocessed report is probably lying about Lake. It says "Last Update 6/20", but it actually updated its vote count last night; before then it was still in "FENU" status. Or maybe the number listed for Lake County is actually for Yolo County.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Final Numbers are in - all counties are in CCC status and the unprocessed report says 0 ballots left.

Clinton 53.1% - 2,745,293
Sanders 46.0% - 2,381,714

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

So that's definitely everything?

Small corrections are always possible; we don't get the certified results until next week. But other than that, it's finally done.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Certified Results: http://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/upcoming-elections/june-7-2016-presidential-primary-election/statement-vote/