Who will win in Connecticut?

[The Other Castro]

Saying that Foley isn't the nominee is like saying Charlie Crist isn't the nominee in Florida. The convention only kept McKinney above 15% so that it'd be easier for Foley to beat Boughton in a 3 way race, but now Boughton and Mckinney's running mate are both out. McKinney doesn't have a chance. It would've been much better for Malloy if McKinney could win since he is much easier to beat than Foley, but Foley is making this almost a true toss up. I still think it's a tilt dem at the moment and Bridgeport will probably give Malloy another 4 years.

[The Other Castro]

Saying that Foley isn't the nominee is like saying Charlie Crist isn't the nominee in Florida. The convention only kept McKinney above 15% so that it'd be easier for Foley to beat Boughton in a 3 way race, but now Boughton and Mckinney's running mate are both out. McKinney doesn't have a chance. It would've been much better for Malloy if McKinney could win since he is much easier to beat than Foley, but Foley is making this almost a true toss up. I still think it's a tilt dem at the moment and Bridgeport will probably give Malloy another 4 years.

Eh they only did that last time because voting stayed open late

I'm assuming that Bridgeport will order more than just 1/3 of the needed ballots this time. Plus, the number of people that gave up and went home earlier in the day probably outnumbered the people that showed up to vote in the extra 2 hours. If there had not been a problem in the first place, Malloy's margin might have been even larger.

[The Other Castro]

I think Foley will, narrowly.

Also, Former State Rep. Jonathan Pelto, a Democrat, is running as a Democrat. If his candidacy catches fire, game over for Malloy.

Pelto is not running as a Democrat. He is petitioning for ballot access as a candidate of his own "Education and Democracy" party, though he would most certainly attract the votes of liberal Democrats in a general election.

Even if Pelto manages to only win 1-2% of the vote, the margin between Foley and Malloy is likely to be tight enough that a third-party Pelto candidacy could significantly improve Foley's odds of winning the election.

Don't forget about Joseph Visconti, he looks like he could easily pick up 1-2% and negate or surpass any damage Pelto could do to Malloy.