SCOTUS-Watch: It's Gorsuch! (user search)
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  SCOTUS-Watch: It's Gorsuch! (search mode)
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Author Topic: SCOTUS-Watch: It's Gorsuch!  (Read 27855 times)
The Other Castro
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« on: January 17, 2017, 07:26:45 PM »
« edited: January 31, 2017, 08:04:51 PM by Castro »
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https://apnews.com/f96c27b46d3647988ecc8d8c35d5918a
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #1 on: January 17, 2017, 09:04:30 PM »
Quote from: RIP Jante's Law, FF on January 17, 2017, 09:01:15 PM
Schumer had better have a filibuster ready.

Then say goodbye to the filibuster for SCOTUS appointments.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #2 on: January 22, 2017, 11:05:34 AM »
Pryor seems like the favorite but my dark horse pick is Gorsuch.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #3 on: January 23, 2017, 01:45:07 PM »
Ayyy look at that, CBS sources say Neil Gorsuch is a leading candidate, and that the focus is on him, Pryor, and  Hardiman (with Gorsuch seen as less of a fight than Pryor).

https://twitter.com/JanCBS
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #4 on: January 24, 2017, 12:56:26 PM »
Trump says he will announce his pick next week. The front-runner appears to be Gorsuch.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #5 on: January 24, 2017, 08:33:39 PM »

Clearly we should wait until after the 2020 election. The American people deserve to have their voice heard, after all.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #6 on: January 24, 2017, 09:15:32 PM »
In addition to those previous reports about Gorsuch, WashPost sources say Trump's top candidates are "William Pryor of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 11th Circuit in Atlanta, Neil Gorsuch of the 10th Circuit in Denver, Thomas Hardiman of the 3rd Circuit in Philadelphia and Raymond Kethledge of the 6th Circuit in Cincinnati."

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/courts_law/trump-close-to-naming-nominee-for-supreme-court/2017/01/24/d47c75a0-e278-11e6-ba11-63c4b4fb5a63_story.html?hpid=hp_rhp-top-table-main_scotus815p%3Ahomepage%2Fstory&utm_term=.bcd08fccd82a
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #7 on: January 24, 2017, 09:45:53 PM »
Quote from: KingSweden on January 24, 2017, 09:19:59 PM
Quote from: Castro on January 24, 2017, 09:15:32 PM
In addition to those previous reports about Gorsuch, WashPost sources say Trump's top candidates are "William Pryor of the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 11th Circuit in Atlanta, Neil Gorsuch of the 10th Circuit in Denver, Thomas Hardiman of the 3rd Circuit in Philadelphia and Raymond Kethledge of the 6th Circuit in Cincinnati."

https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/courts_law/trump-close-to-naming-nominee-for-supreme-court/2017/01/24/d47c75a0-e278-11e6-ba11-63c4b4fb5a63_story.html?hpid=hp_rhp-top-table-main_scotus815p%3Ahomepage%2Fstory&utm_term=.bcd08fccd82a

Anything big to know about Hardiman or Kethledge?

Kethledge is unlikely to be picked, but Hardiman is also now emerging as a potential top pick with Gorsuch. He's known for a ruling that jail strip searches of all those arrested is not unconstitutional. He's also big on gun rights. Fun fact about him is he did not attend an Ivy League school.

Order of likelihood is probably about: Gorsuch>>Hardiman>>>Pryor>>>Kethledge.

SCOTUSblog has some good profiles on Gorsuch and Hardiman.
http://www.scotusblog.com/2017/01/potential-nominee-profile-neil-gorsuch/
http://www.scotusblog.com/2017/01/potential-nominee-profile-thomas-hardiman/
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #8 on: January 25, 2017, 09:18:50 PM »
Forgot to update this before, but Trump tweeted the announcement will be on Thursday (though there's a pretty good chance the name will leak before then).
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #9 on: January 25, 2017, 11:05:24 PM »
Quote from: ExtremeRepublican on January 25, 2017, 09:58:25 PM
Quote from: Castro on January 25, 2017, 09:18:50 PM
Forgot to update this before, but Trump tweeted the announcement will be on Thursday (though there's a pretty good chance the name will leak before then).

As in tomorrow or next Thursday?

Next Thursday.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #10 on: January 27, 2017, 04:23:02 PM »
Philip Rucker ‏@PhilipRucker  2h2 hours ago
Hearing from WH that Trump's plan to announce SCOTUS pick on Thurs is not definite. Could come sooner -- really, whenever he feels like it.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #11 on: January 29, 2017, 04:25:58 PM »
Update: Announcement may be coming Monday or Tuesday. Down to Gorsuch and Hardiman.

Jonathan Karl ‏@jonkarl  56m56 minutes ago
Senior administration official tells me @realDonaldTrump's SCOTUS short list is down Neil Gorsuch & Thomas Hardiman.

Jonathan Karl ‏@jonkarl  59m59 minutes ago
WH SOURCE: The WH is preparing for an earlier announcement of @realDonaldTrump's pick for Supreme Court - likely Tues, possibly tomorrow
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #12 on: January 29, 2017, 05:23:28 PM »
Now that I think about it, we should consider Trump's habit of choosing people that "look the part". In that regard, Hardiman may have an advantage on Gorsuch.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #13 on: January 29, 2017, 11:26:38 PM »
Mitch McConnell just instagrammed a photo with this caption:

The Supreme Court plays a critical role in our nation. I look forward to the President's selection.
https://www.instagram.com/p/BP3sXf6hoj-/

Announcement imminent?
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #14 on: January 30, 2017, 11:13:28 AM »
There's still a pretty good chance the name could leak today at some point.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #15 on: January 30, 2017, 12:21:24 PM »
The sense seems to be that Pence+Ryan+Priebus want Gorsuch, but Trump and his sister want Hardiman. After selling Trump on Gorsuch, Trump may have flipped to Hardiman and ended up with him for his final decision.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #16 on: January 30, 2017, 12:26:36 PM »
Quote from: xīngkěruì on January 30, 2017, 12:24:57 PM
Does anyone else think it's terrible that the court has become so politicized, and that we care more about a justice's position on a particular social issue than their ability and knowledge of the law?

Yes but it's not like that's a new development.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #17 on: January 30, 2017, 12:35:04 PM »
This just in: "Senate Dems will filibuster Trump’s Supreme Court nominee"

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http://www.politico.com/story/2017/01/senate-democrats-filibuster-supreme-court-pick-234368
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #18 on: January 30, 2017, 01:55:26 PM »
According to FiveThirtyEight:
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #19 on: January 30, 2017, 11:14:13 PM »
On this SCOTUS-reveal eve, the PredictIt prices for Gorsuch and Hardiman are pretty much even at 49% and 44% respectively. Pryor is in a distant third place at 7%.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #20 on: January 31, 2017, 12:58:09 PM »
Manu Raju ‏@mkraju  25m25 minutes ago
Hardiman, Gorsuch brought to Washington for SCOTUS announcement - and Gorsuch is leading candidate, via @PamelaBrownCNN @Arianedevogue
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #21 on: January 31, 2017, 01:08:15 PM »
Crazy thought: What if both of them are being nominated, and an additional Justice (Thomas perhaps) is stepping down?
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #22 on: January 31, 2017, 01:14:48 PM »
The choice has presumably already been made and the candidate has most likely already been informed, so why would both agree to come to Washington? Is it really worth it to build the extra suspense when the choice is being announced tonight anyway?
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #23 on: January 31, 2017, 01:21:07 PM »
If there is a dual nomination, it could explain why networks have conflicting sources that seem very confident their guy is getting nominated.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #24 on: January 31, 2017, 01:27:11 PM »
Andrea Drusch ‏@AndreaDrusch  6m6 minutes ago
Judicial Crisis Network prepped ads for either SCOTUS pick, launching $2M TV & digital campaign tonight in MO, IN, MT, DC


The Judicial Crisis Network is a conservative group, and it looks like they're going to try and pressure McCaskill, Donnelly, and Tester into voting for confirmation.
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