Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY) (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 10, 2024, 12:38:59 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Congressional Elections (Moderators: Brittain33, GeorgiaModerate, Gass3268, Virginiá, Gracile)
  Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY) (search mode)
Pages: 1 2 [3] 4
Author Topic: Congressional Special Elections Results Thread (OLD, PLEASE UNSTICKY)  (Read 204600 times)
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #50 on: May 22, 2017, 05:50:10 PM »
When they ask questions like that first, it primes the respondents and makes the survey potentially less accurate.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #51 on: May 30, 2017, 06:46:50 PM »
SC-5 internal poll for Archie Parnell has him down 10 to Ralph Norman.

Quote
You must be logged in to read this quote.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/powerpost/wp/2017/05/30/democratic-poll-party-has-a-shot-in-sleepy-south-carolina-race/?utm_term=.8681351baf1a
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #52 on: June 05, 2017, 05:32:27 PM »
Great news, DCCC putting some money ($275,000) in SC-5 for Parnell.

http://www.postandcourier.com/news/national-democrats-making-modest-investment-in-south-carolina-race-to/article_69adf2f6-4a2b-11e7-8289-c776fc08cfce.html

I've been talking to some people there, and they wouldn't have put this money in unless their internals had tightened, or if the GOP is spending money as well.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #53 on: June 05, 2017, 05:59:51 PM »
Quote from: Chief Justice windjammer on June 05, 2017, 05:44:12 PM
Quote from: Castro on June 05, 2017, 05:32:27 PM
Great news, DCCC putting some money ($275,000) in SC-5 for Parnell.

http://www.postandcourier.com/news/national-democrats-making-modest-investment-in-south-carolina-race-to/article_69adf2f6-4a2b-11e7-8289-c776fc08cfce.html

I've been talking to some people there, and they wouldn't have put this money in unless their internals had tightened, or if the GOP is spending money as well.
Sadly, I don't see how he could win. It would be quite a good performance if he could lose by single digits

I have no expectations of him winning or coming that close, but a closer race would be good.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #54 on: June 06, 2017, 11:58:02 PM »
Gomez is probably going to destroy with Election Day vote, build up a big lead.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #55 on: June 07, 2017, 12:14:43 AM »

May? He's going to win by like 20 points.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #56 on: August 15, 2017, 08:28:33 PM »
There was a poll showing Kennedy +21. Right now it's Jones +47. Just wow.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #57 on: August 15, 2017, 08:30:24 PM »
The disproportionately better areas for Brooks have come in already and he's still in a distant third. This going to be Strange vs. Moore.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #58 on: August 15, 2017, 08:38:24 PM »
Jonathan Martin @jmartNYT
Strange folks had been nervous, worried Moore could surprise w 50.  

Sigh of relief now

Not cocky about runoff, but at least in game

https://twitter.com/jmartNYT/status/897632355569020928
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #59 on: August 15, 2017, 08:41:35 PM »
Also, Brooks has no reason to support McConnell's candidate. Could he endorse Moore? Less than half of his vote percentage would be needed to get Moore over 50%.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #60 on: August 15, 2017, 08:59:55 PM »
NYT calls runoff for Moore and Strange.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #61 on: August 15, 2017, 09:03:56 PM »
Post-primary PredictIt odds going into the GOP runoff: Moore 70% chance of victory over Strange.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #62 on: September 26, 2017, 07:00:15 PM »
Quote from: Progressive on September 26, 2017, 06:59:19 PM
Any idea which counties to look for tonight?



https://twitter.com/ZacMcCrary/status/912680161275006978
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #63 on: September 26, 2017, 07:11:58 PM »
Strange leads by 1 vote: 262-261.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #64 on: September 26, 2017, 07:24:01 PM »
Roy Moore
491   56.1%   
Luther Strange*
384   43.9   
<1% reporting (9 of 2,286 precincts)
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #65 on: September 26, 2017, 07:31:37 PM »
This looks horrible for Strange, should be a very early night.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #66 on: September 26, 2017, 07:36:23 PM »
Quote from: marty on September 26, 2017, 07:33:40 PM
Quote from: Castro on September 26, 2017, 07:31:37 PM
This looks horrible for Strange, should be a very early night.

Way too earthly to tell

I have been told that I am a very grounded person, thank you.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #67 on: September 26, 2017, 07:42:42 PM »
Moore pulling back up again:

Roy Moore
8,814   54.6%   
Luther Strange*
7,317   45.4   
4% reporting (85 of 2,286 precincts)
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #68 on: September 26, 2017, 07:47:39 PM »
Quote from: ExtremeConservative on September 26, 2017, 07:46:44 PM
Lee County (Auburn) is starting to come in at 52-48 Moore.

Benchmarks said Strange needed to win Lee County.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #69 on: September 26, 2017, 07:52:10 PM »
Roy Moore
25,976   57.4%   
Luther Strange*
19,273   42.6   
9% reporting (207 of 2,286 precincts)
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #70 on: September 26, 2017, 07:56:02 PM »
Quote from: marty on September 26, 2017, 07:52:41 PM
Moore is up 19 points in limestone county with 90% in

What were benchmarks there?

Strange needed to make it pretty much a tie.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #71 on: September 26, 2017, 08:00:52 PM »
It's pretty much over, congrats (likely) Senator-elect Moore.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #72 on: September 26, 2017, 08:01:47 PM »
Ironic, the Roy Moore victory party is streaming the NYT results page.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #73 on: September 26, 2017, 08:05:25 PM »
DDHQ calls it:

Decision Desk HQ‏ @DecisionDeskHQ  1 minute ago
Projection: Roy Moore wins the #ALSen R runoff. Will go on to face Doug Jones (D) in the general election.
Logged
The Other Castro
Castro2020
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,230
United States


« Reply #74 on: September 26, 2017, 08:07:00 PM »
Moore probably on track to win by double digits.
Logged
Pages: 1 2 [3] 4  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.036 seconds with 12 queries.