Does Tim Cahill's Decision to run as an Independent now Appear Clairvoyant?

[Lunar]

He's running as an Independent former Democrat.  I'm interested in how the special election to replace Ted has impacted forecasts on this race.

 
http://bostonherald.com/news/politics/view/20100116poll_independents_abandoning_deval_patrick_in_droves/srvc=home&position=2

Independent voters have deserted Gov. Deval Patrick, an ominous sign in the first-term incumbent’s quest for re-election this year, according to a new Suffolk University/7News poll.

“There’s a void, similar to the void that was filled with Scott Brown, that appears to be opening up with independents in this poll,” said David Paleologos, director of Suffolk University’s Political Research Center.

“That certainly leaves the door open for (state Treasurer) Tim Cahill or (GOP candidate) Charlie Baker, given that the independents are fed up with (Patrick.)”

Patrick is viewed unfavorably by a whopping 63 percent of independents, who make up the largest bloc of voters in the state, the poll found. Most voters, 56 percent, disapprove of the job he’s doing, while only 35 percent approve, according to the poll, which surveyed 500 likely voters Monday through Wednesday.