CO: Rasmussen: McCain 48, Obama 46

[Lunar]

Well, I think Rasmussen's charge of bias comes from three fronts:
1) Hard weighting doesn't favor Obama.  This might  have actually been the reverse in 2004, not really sure.  His weights I believe are more Republican-friendly than many other pollsters, but that doesn't make them wrong.
2) I think Rasmussen himself is a Republican and is often a featured speaker on FOX news.  Neither of these things matter of course.
3) Most pollsters have a pro-Democrat bias, thus someone who is dead-on appears biased relative to everyone else.

Out of morbid curiousness, Vorlon, can publishers who hire pollsters refuse to publish the results if they don't like them?  I mean, news organizations care more about money than ideology (hell, this includes the Daily Kos), but I'm not sure how a pollster would react to that.

It wouldn't be surprising if FOX knew Rasmussen's track record was to the right of other pollsters and chose Razzy for that reason, in addition to their historical accuracy. 

[Lunar]

Lots of swing states in 04. And Ras got every single one correct. Enough said.

If this election is like 2004 you're 100% right.

One could argue that hard weights might work less than ideal for 2008 due to competing surges of enthusiasm.  Who knows, but I wouldn't put all my eggs in that basket.

edit: disregard this post

[Lunar]

Lots of swing states in 04. And Ras got every single one correct. Enough said.

If this election is like 2004 you're 100% right.

One could argue that hard weights might work less than ideal for 2008 due to competing surges of enthusiasm.  Who knows, but I wouldn't put all my eggs in that basket.

Rasmussen doesn't hard weight his state polls to party ID.  For some reason, that myth has been perpetuated countless times on this forum.

Brain fart, I'm stupid.  Most of that myth has been me spreading it despite being proven wrong already with you disproving me once already.

Does he weight by other attributes?  I mean, Rasmussen's accuracy can't 100% be attributed to getting a really good SRS and non-leading questions, right?