Republicans New York Primary results thread (polls close at 9pm ET)

[swf541]

I expect Trump to win all CD except for 2 CD's and get around 85 delegates.

Which 2?

[swf541]

John King on CNN and others seemto think Trump railing against the system is helping him a lot

Also:

King on CNN saying Indiana internal polling has shifted in the last week from Cruz up double digits to about tied

[swf541]

This map tells me that Drumpf will sweep Mohawk Valley and Western NY.

There's a lot of evidence that Trump has done worse with white people of German ancestry than with white people in general, so I'm not sure about that.  Of course, German is the plurality white ancestry nationwide, so we don't know if those counties are actually more German than the national average.

Intersting, I wonder if that varies by when those settled here, I have to imagine the Germans settled in New York, Pennsylvania and Maryland came much earlier than those in the midwest.

Do we have any info on how Trump does among those of Scottish, Irish and Scotch-Irish descent?  I imagine thats his best white demographic

Also were is that map from I want a copy for MD

[swf541]

I don't think Trump will get over 50 and I am pleasantly surprised at how few liberal republican voters there are!

Err, your thinking that based on what?  The above points to Trump above 50

[swf541]

probably Trump 55% with Kasich taking most #nevertrump voters and Cruz at less than 15%

Looking something like that

[swf541]

I got this in my email for Alice Stewart

You must be logged in to read this quote.

So its nothing?

[swf541]

Well, I cant imagine him losing any so what Trump 88-95 range?

[swf541]

Exit poll by region:
http://edition.cnn.com/election/primaries/polls/ny/Rep

NYC:
Trump 52
Cruz 25
Kasich 23

Long Island
Trump 67
Kasich 23
Cruz 10

Hudson Valley
Trump 64
Kasich 25
Cruz 11

Urban Upstate
Trump 60
Kasich 20
Cruz 18

Rural Upstate
Trump 46
Kasich 33
Cruz 21

How many disctricts in rural upstate?

[swf541]

I don't understand all this Atlas enthusiasm/excitement for one or two specific districts that trump may lose.
People .... trump has a massive win here. 1, 2 or 3 districts is peanuts.

Delegate math...

Delegate math, yes, if it was a denial of say 10 or 15 delegates.
2 or 3 ..... not really. Very insignificant (for all the hoopla I'm hearing).

Agreed Trump is going to get between 90-93 by the looks of it, heck Trump isnt even losing any CD's atm