NH, VA, ME, IA and NV - how do you see those states trending in the future?

[RINO Tom]

How do you see those states trending in the future?

My guess:

- New Hampshire will quickly become another Vermont, if it isn't already.
- Virginia will basically turn into Maryland 2.0 and become an inelastic 56D/44R state or so.
- Maine will become the "real" New Hampshire in the sense that it will be the only competitive state in the Northeast. ME-01 should remain Democratic, though.
- Nevada will be more similar to FL than NM and should remain competitive if the GOP can max out the White vote and make inroads with minorities.
- Iowa will turn into Missouri 2.0.

Not compatible.

[RINO Tom]

I have no idea where the parties will go coalition-wise by then, so I just can't be sure.  I am inclined to believe that between 1) Democrats coming to terms with just how many Obama voters weren't on board for the reason of social issues (I think this came as a true shock to many) and 2) a continually diversifying America forcing the GOP's hand on being more inclusive of minorities will lead to an America where it simply makes more electoral sense for the Republicans to appeal to natural conservatives of all races (strict moralists, traditionalists, business types, affluent voters, the very religious, those most concerned with national security, those who live in newer suburbs/towns, etc.) rather than keep a band of largely White voters who don't agree on all of that stuff together, causing the Democrats to attract "liberals" of all races in return (the economically disadvantaged, public sector employees, academic types, people who live in older, more established cities/suburbs/towns, environmentalists, people weary of private business, etc.), though I think this might not happen until closer to 2050.

[RINO Tom]

I have no idea where the parties will go coalition-wise by then, so I just can't be sure.  I am inclined to believe that between 1) Democrats coming to terms with just how many Obama voters weren't on board for the reason of social issues (I think this came as a true shock to many) and 2) a continually diversifying America forcing the GOP's hand on being more inclusive of minorities will lead to an America where it simply makes more electoral sense for the Republicans to appeal to natural conservatives of all races (strict moralists, traditionalists, business types, affluent voters, the very religious, those most concerned with national security, those who live in newer suburbs/towns, etc.) rather than keep a band of largely White voters who don't agree on all of that stuff together, causing the Democrats to attract "liberals" of all races in return (the economically disadvantaged, public sector employees, academic types, people who live in older, more established cities/suburbs/towns, environmentalists, people weary of private business, etc.), though I think this might not happen until closer to 2050.

Wrong on all counts and off-topic.  As to the topic:

NH: will swing back and forth with no obvious trend.
VA: Obviously trending left.
ME: Slight trend right.
IA: Obviously trending right.
NV: slight trend left.

1) How can something where I hypothesize two diametrically opposed outcomes be wrong on all accounts?  LOL

2) I thought you had all of my monikers™ and me on ignore?

3) You shouldn't be so elitist about how *smart* you are and *stupid* everyone else is if you're too dyslexic to spell my username in the right order.

4) I thought you quit this forum because none of us had jobs and we were all ... well ... me.

5) We are all me, you haven't talked to a non-moniker since you've been back.  Just remember when you log in that you are literally coming to this forum to converse with me, because I'm EVERYWHERE.  You can't hide, NSV, even in deep sea blue Virginny.

[RINO Tom]

I have no idea where the parties will go coalition-wise by then, so I just can't be sure.  I am inclined to believe that between 1) Democrats coming to terms with just how many Obama voters weren't on board for the reason of social issues (I think this came as a true shock to many) and 2) a continually diversifying America forcing the GOP's hand on being more inclusive of minorities will lead to an America where it simply makes more electoral sense for the Republicans to appeal to natural conservatives of all races (strict moralists, traditionalists, business types, affluent voters, the very religious, those most concerned with national security, those who live in newer suburbs/towns, etc.) rather than keep a band of largely White voters who don't agree on all of that stuff together, causing the Democrats to attract "liberals" of all races in return (the economically disadvantaged, public sector employees, academic types, people who live in older, more established cities/suburbs/towns, environmentalists, people weary of private business, etc.), though I think this might not happen until closer to 2050.

Wrong on all counts and off-topic.  As to the topic:

NH: will swing back and forth with no obvious trend.
VA: Obviously trending left.
ME: Slight trend right.
IA: Obviously trending right.
NV: slight trend left.

1) How can something where I hypothesize two diametrically opposed outcomes be wrong on all accounts?  LOL

2) I thought you had all of my monikers™ and me on ignore?

3) You shouldn't be so elitist about how *smart* you are and *stupid* everyone else is if you're too dyslexic to spell my username in the right order.

4) I thought you quit this forum because none of us had jobs and we were all ... well ... me.

5) We are all me, you haven't talked to a non-moniker since you've been back.  Just remember when you log in that you are literally coming to this forum to converse with me, because I'm EVERYWHERE.  You can't hide, NSV, even in deep sea blue Virginny.

I'm also mildly amused that I'm gone for two weeks, post a response and you reply within 20 minutes.  Do you have any hobbies outside of this forum?

Only mildly?  And other than going to work (GASP!), watching the Illini, working out, cleaning my house and drinking with my friends, nah, going on the internet takes up most of the rest of the time.  Usually check this site at work, too.  Thanks for your concern.

[RINO Tom]

I have no idea where the parties will go coalition-wise by then, so I just can't be sure.  I am inclined to believe that between 1) Democrats coming to terms with just how many Obama voters weren't on board for the reason of social issues (I think this came as a true shock to many) and 2) a continually diversifying America forcing the GOP's hand on being more inclusive of minorities will lead to an America where it simply makes more electoral sense for the Republicans to appeal to natural conservatives of all races (strict moralists, traditionalists, business types, affluent voters, the very religious, those most concerned with national security, those who live in newer suburbs/towns, etc.) rather than keep a band of largely White voters who don't agree on all of that stuff together, causing the Democrats to attract "liberals" of all races in return (the economically disadvantaged, public sector employees, academic types, people who live in older, more established cities/suburbs/towns, environmentalists, people weary of private business, etc.), though I think this might not happen until closer to 2050.

Wrong on all counts and off-topic.  As to the topic:

NH: will swing back and forth with no obvious trend.
VA: Obviously trending left.
ME: Slight trend right.
IA: Obviously trending right.
NV: slight trend left.

1) How can something where I hypothesize two diametrically opposed outcomes be wrong on all accounts?  LOL

2) I thought you had all of my monikers™ and me on ignore?

3) You shouldn't be so elitist about how *smart* you are and *stupid* everyone else is if you're too dyslexic to spell my username in the right order.

4) I thought you quit this forum because none of us had jobs and we were all ... well ... me.

5) We are all me, you haven't talked to a non-moniker since you've been back.  Just remember when you log in that you are literally coming to this forum to converse with me, because I'm EVERYWHERE.  You can't hide, NSV, even in deep sea blue Virginny.

I'm also mildly amused that I'm gone for two weeks, post a response and you reply within 20 minutes.  Do you have any hobbies outside of this forum?

Only mildly?  And other than going to work (GASP!), watching the Illini, working out, cleaning my house and drinking with my friends, nah, going on the internet takes up most of the rest of the time.  Usually check this site at work, too.  Thanks for your concern.

Theories of Western Civilization class =/= work.  I wouldn't label it a concern.

LOL, I would be super entertained to meet the person you imagine me to be.