Can Kentucky be won by a Democrat in 2020? (user search)
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  Can Kentucky be won by a Democrat in 2020? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Can Kentucky be won by a Democrat in 2020?  (Read 2745 times)
RINO Tom
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Posts: 17,069
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Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

« on: June 24, 2017, 09:21:57 AM »

With the right kind of Democrat...

... the margin can be reduced, LOL.  The voters Democrats would need to get over the hump died a while back.
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RINO Tom
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*****
Posts: 17,069
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

« Reply #1 on: June 28, 2017, 04:18:31 PM »

I personally think it can, it's going to be one of the states most affected by the repeal of ObamaCare, the majority of voters in the state are Democrats (50 D - 40 R), and Mitch McConnell has the lowest approval rating in the Senate.
Also, voter turnout is extremely low, and there is too much voter apathy.

Someone posted a very interesting article a few years back about how a lot of the Republican voters in KY these days (a lot, not all) were never Democrats to begin with and have been voting Republican for decades ... and it's a lot of the socially conservative Democrats who used to push Democrats over the top in KY who are staying home on election day and no longer see it as worth it to turn out to pick between a Republican and an unsuitable Democrat tied to the national party.  Turnout in former Democratic strongholds has seen the largest drop in these states.
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RINO Tom
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 17,069
United States


Political Matrix
E: 2.45, S: -0.52

« Reply #2 on: June 29, 2017, 08:28:18 AM »

Only way I can see it is if Beshear is on the ticket or they have a WV Coal democrat like Manchin/Tomblin/Justice. Otherwise it'll be a safe GOP win. Maybe if Kentucky goes more diverse or starts to take in cosmopolitan characteristics of NC & GA, it will work. Still doubtful at best.

Where is this idea that all cosmopolitan growth will forever spell more Democratic strength?  There are some characteristics of "cosmopolitan" that point to Democratic voting (diverse, urban), but there are others that point to Republican voting (affluent).
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