Boston Bread
New Canadaland
YaBB God
Posts: 3,636
Political Matrix
E: -5.00, S: -5.00
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« Reply #1 on: May 18, 2016, 09:13:06 PM » |
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The problem was using endorsements to predict election results when polls did not back it up at all. The polls plus was worse than polls only overall, and though they came up with a demographic model (that would of allowed them to predict states with few polls decently well) they never treated seriously, never incorporating it into their model. They just avoided forecasting a third of the contests because there were no polls, even though they had same kind of demographic model that performed well for Nate in 08.
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