Professor Lichtmann predicts Presidential Race for 2016

[TheElectoralBoobyPrize]

The media are saying he called the election correctly, but I thought the Lichtmann model was for predicting the PV winner. 

Right, but he ended up correctly calling Clinton as the popular vote winner since the third party key didn't end up turning against the Democrats after all since Johnson got under 5 percent of the vote.

On the other hand, this is only because he arbitrarily redefined the primary challenge key. Using the standard he applied to every prior election, Hillary had 6 keys against her, as Bernie was able to hold her below 66% of delegates.

THIS TIMES A THOUSAND! This needs to be repeated over and over again. He moved the goalposts on the nomination contest key. Carter in 1980 came closer to 66% of the delegates than Hillary did yet the key was turned against him (although only retroactively...the keys hadn't been developed yet).