Kasich vs Biden (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 02, 2024, 03:58:46 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Kasich vs Biden (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Kasich vs Biden  (Read 3003 times)
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,319


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« on: August 09, 2017, 02:49:02 PM »

Who wins with what map

This is what I think :




Kasich/Martinez 292 51%
Biden/Warren 246 48%




Logged
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,319


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #1 on: August 09, 2017, 09:29:19 PM »

Hillary primarily struggled with working class (with an emphasis on rustbelt) Bernie voters, Biden is basically tailor made for that demo, especially since he would've been running as an extension of Obama's administration. Does anyone honestly believe that he would've had as much a hard time with Bernie voters/the working class as Hillary did?

Remember, we're talking about Joe Biden, not Tim Kaine.

Yes but Kasich is way better suited for states like CO , NV , VA then Trump
Logged
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,319


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #2 on: August 09, 2017, 09:31:45 PM »

No way Kasich does better in VA, NV and CO than in WI.

I'd say Kasich wins by flipping Iowa, Ohio, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Florida. Michigan and Colorado are close.

Kasich would do way better in the suburbs then trump ,and PVI wise if he wins by 3 points he flips VA and NV and I have him winning Colorado because Colorado would have gone GOP this year if an regular GOP was the nominee.


WI Biden does way better then Hillary and keeps it in the dem column by a close margin
Logged
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,319


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #3 on: August 09, 2017, 11:44:40 PM »
« Edited: August 10, 2017, 03:51:33 AM by Old School Republican »

No way Kasich does better in VA, NV and CO than in WI.

I'd say Kasich wins by flipping Iowa, Ohio, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Florida. Michigan and Colorado are close.

Kasich would do way better in the suburbs then trump ,and PVI wise if he wins by 3 points he flips VA and NV and I have him winning Colorado because Colorado would have gone GOP this year if an regular GOP was the nominee.


WI Biden does way better then Hillary and keeps it in the dem column by a close margin

What happened to Darryl Glenn?

Trump brought the GOP down there, and Bennett is a sitting US senator who are pretty difficult to beat as they are usually tailor made for their home states like Bennett was.
Logged
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,319


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #4 on: August 10, 2017, 04:28:21 PM »
« Edited: August 10, 2017, 04:40:23 PM by Old School Republican »


Biden/Warren: 295 EV, 50.7% PV
Kasich/Martinez: 243 EV, 47.5% PV

Colorado and Virginia have became too Democratic for a Republican to win in a presidential election. The Democratic ticket appeals quite well to the white working-class, and so they take back the Upper Midwest. The Reid machine holds up in Nevada, and recent gains in North Carolina push it over the edge. The Republican ticket, being more fiscally conservative and socially moderate, lose Iowa but win New Hampshire and Florida, the latter partially due to Martinez's presence on the ticket.

Closest Margins:
1. North Carolina, 0.2%
2. Iowa, 0.4%
3. Nevada, 0.5%
4. Florida, 0.9%
5. New Hampshire, 1.7%

the PVI for Virginia was just +3 dem which was despite the fact that Kaine was VP and Trump was a terrible fit for the state. For Colorado again Trump was a terrible for for the state and with Martinez on the ticket it will flip. Nevada this year was neither GOP or Dem in PVI, and Biden is a worse fit then Hillary for that state, and Martinez will also make sure this flips. LOL at North Carolina


Lastly about the idea Kasich cant appeal to WWC voters:

Logged
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,319


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #5 on: August 31, 2017, 10:23:19 PM »



Kasich defiantly wins Nevada , Hillary was a better fit for that state than Biden and Kasich is a better fit for that state than trump
Logged
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 45,319


Political Matrix
E: 3.42, S: 2.61

P P P

« Reply #6 on: August 31, 2017, 11:54:31 PM »



Kasich defiantly wins Nevada , Hillary was a better fit for that state than Biden and Kasich is a better fit for that state than trump

Nevada was the only state I was on the fence about. I figured the Reid machine would pull it out for Biden though Kasich would unquestionably do better with Hispanics there (compared to Trump) so yeah, could go either way.

Hillary only won Nevada by 2.4 points , which makes it barely more Dem than the nation .That too with a GOP nominee like trump
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.036 seconds with 11 queries.