United Kingdom Referendum on European Union Membership

[Clyde1998]

Newcastle is full of middle class and large students population (Remain friendly demographics)
it shouldve been 58-42% for Remain

but the students will have gone home because its bloody june, that's what you do

But if the students' polling location is in Newcastle, does that mean that the students who went home didn't vote at all?

You can be registered to vote in more than one place, but you can only vote in one. Most will be registered in Newcastle and their home area.

[Clyde1998]

SUNDERLAND (NORTH EAST)
Remain - 51,930
Leave - 82,394

[Clyde1998]

CLACKMANNANSHIRE (SCOTLAND)
Remain - 14,691
Leave - 10,736

[Clyde1998]

The Pound has dropped by 6 cents against the Dollar since the early polls.

[Clyde1998]

What would have been a good Clakmannshire result for the remain side?

The pre polling model has it, and Orkney, spot on.

Do you have a list for the expected results based on the polling modelling?

[Clyde1998]

I found this as a pre-poll model for England

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1hCtN3IY76azcr_6OiFPvZI0eXi_8JJqxT7d8vNhW2Do/edit#gid=0

Thank you.

[Clyde1998]

Sky News are suggesting that Leave are doing better than expected in Wales as well.

[Clyde1998]

SWINDON (SOUTH WEST)
Remain - 51,220
Leave - 61,745

Bad, Really Bad for Remain

[Clyde1998]

Kettering - 61% Leave

[Clyde1998]

Shetland - 56.5% In

[Clyde1998]

West Dunbartonshire - 62% In

[Clyde1998]

South Tyneside - 62% leave

[Clyde1998]

@toadmeister: A psephologist at ITN’s headquarters is calling it for Leave in the green room. Thinks Leave will win by two points. #ITVEURef

[Clyde1998]

Labour are saying that a lot of their voters are voting leave to give the Conservative Government a kicking.

[Clyde1998]

North Antrim (Northern Ireland)
Remain - 18,782 (37.8%)
Leave -  30,938 (62.2%)

[Clyde1998]

Dundee
Remain - 39,688 (59.8%)
Leave - 26,697 (40.2%)

[Clyde1998]

Lagan Valley (NI) - Leave 53.1%

[Clyde1998]

Eilean Siar votes remain - they were the biggest leave vote in 1975 (at around 80% Leave).

Scotland will vote Remain.

[Clyde1998]

Leave are over performing in Scotland

They are, but I think that's to do with poor turnout.

[Clyde1998]

Eilean Siar votes remain - they were the biggest leave vote in 1975 (at around 80% Leave).

Scotland will vote Remain.

I think every area in Scotland will vote remain. The question is, will it be enough?

If any area of Scotland votes to leave, it'll be Moray or Aberdeenshire.

We need to see some results from London to say for certain whether it'll be enough.

[Clyde1998]

West Tyrone (NI): Remain 66.8%

[Clyde1998]

https://twitter.com/GoogleTrends/status/746137920940056578
@GoogleTrends: +250% spike in "what happens if we leave the EU" in the past hour

Bit late to ask that question now.

[Clyde1998]

70% Leave in Hartlepool.

It's going to take a large Remain from London to keep the UK in the EU, IMO.

[Clyde1998]

Why is everyone acting like Leave has won?  There's not even close to enough votes to show anything at this point, except that Leave is outperforming the polls.

The polls were 52-48 to Remain though. Leave outperforming the polls makes it likely Leave will win.

[Clyde1998]

Why is everyone acting like Leave has won?  There's not even close to enough votes to show anything at this point, except that Leave is outperforming the polls.

The polls were 52-48 to Remain though. Leave outperforming the polls makes it likely Leave will win.

Dude, less than 20 districts have reported out of 382 total.  That number is anything but conclusive.

Patterns can be drawn from certain results though - and it's not positive for Remain.