GOP or Dems: Doomed if they win in '16 (user search)
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  GOP or Dems: Doomed if they win in '16 (search mode)
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Author Topic: GOP or Dems: Doomed if they win in '16  (Read 2608 times)
bobloblaw
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« on: August 27, 2015, 04:52:10 PM »

So, another big picture to look at here is after the current slow rebound of the economy we are due for a correction hear sometime before ~2020ish. This is agree'd on by many big economists to expect this sort of default in the next 4-6 years, so whoever win's in '16 will definitely take some heat for another likely minor recession. Which the other party will capitalize on in the 2020 elections.

For the GOP, this is a double-edged sword, as if they pull out a slim W and finally win the American's public trust with the highest office in '16 and a recession striking quickly as they begin their fiscal agenda, RIP to the GOP in national elections for a bit. At the same time, if Hilldog takes a seat in the executive spot, she will already have a lot of the nation very skeptical about trusting her as a leader. If a recession sets into place and thing's start going down hill, it will immediately having people jumping to conclusions and reaffirm the public's worries and will most likely lead to a booming Rubio 2020 win.

Discuss!

Yes, a recession is all but certain between 2016 and 2020
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bobloblaw
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« Reply #1 on: August 28, 2015, 09:44:07 PM »

What if Hillary was surprisingly popular in 2018? The House and senate might then have minimal change and the governorships of MI WI FL could flip blue.

Yeah, well that wont happen. Hildawg will be polling in the 30s by the end of 2017.
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bobloblaw
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Posts: 2,018
« Reply #2 on: August 28, 2015, 09:46:21 PM »

The Presidential Penalty in the midterms seems to hurt Democrats more than Republicans. If Hillary wins in 2016, then 2018 will be an even bigger disaster than 1994, 2010, and 2014 combined. You may see a GOP filibuster proof majority in the Senate, and possibly even a veto-proof majority in the House.

That said, if a Republican wins in 2016, you'll certainly see some governorships flipping, and possibly even some state legislative chambers, which make us a lot more relevant in the redistricting process, putting us on the path to eventually taking back the House.
No not gonna happen. Filibuster-proof US Senate Majorities don't happen that much anymore except in 2009 when the Dems had a filibuster-proof majority for like less than a year. Before 2010 the last year of a filibuster-proof majority when in the 1970's with the Dems back then.

The GOP would have close to that now if they had run better candidates in 2010 and 2012. CO, NV, IN, MO, ND, MT. There is 60.
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