RFayette 🇻🇦
RFayette
Junior Chimp
Posts: 9,962
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« on: August 09, 2015, 11:59:55 AM » |
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It all comes down to economic cycles. The big risk for the GOP winning in 2016 is that a recession will occur by 2019, the Democrats would likely get 12 years (at least) in the White House. By this point, thanks to demographic/age changes, Reagan will be a distant memory and all people will remember is relative prosperity under Obama/Clinton and recessions under George W Bush/other President.
This is why the GOP losing in 2012 was very, very unfortunate. Had Romney won, he could have capitalized on the economic recovery and helped to repair the party's brand/economic reputation. 2016 is a double-edged sword.......given how economic cycles are, I predict a 2019/2020 recession is quite likely no matter who is President.
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