North Carolina (PPP) - Republicans dominating over Clinton and Sanders (user search)
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  North Carolina (PPP) - Republicans dominating over Clinton and Sanders (search mode)
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Author Topic: North Carolina (PPP) - Republicans dominating over Clinton and Sanders  (Read 3592 times)
RFayette 🇻🇦
RFayette
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,962
United States


« on: September 29, 2015, 02:49:50 PM »

Damn, I do feel like I have some egg on my face regarding my Hillary-inevitable hackery earlier this year.  Draft Biden really seems like a worthy cause at this point.  Hillary still will probably have a slight-to-moderate advantage over her GOP opponent due to the grueling and uncertain primary process, but this is a very different ball game compared to a few months ago.
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RFayette 🇻🇦
RFayette
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,962
United States


« Reply #1 on: September 29, 2015, 07:23:54 PM »

The map still favors the Dems in NV, CO and Pa and Va.  The GOP has its work cut out for them, and Clinton will be Dems nominee.

Hillary will do better in NC than she will do in CO. And she'll significantly lose both.

To paraphrase Angels in America ...

"You ain't stupid, so don't talk stupid"...

Whoever the Democratic nominee is, will struggle in NC and we know how silly it is to make GE pronouncements more than a year before the election. 

Exactly.  Plus, there's significant discordance both between the state polls and between the state and national polls.  It is simply impossible for all these polls to be accurately reflecting the current situation, even if the election were held today.  For instance, I just don't see Rubio winning North Carolina in a rout but getting thumped badly in New Hampshire.
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RFayette 🇻🇦
RFayette
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 9,962
United States


« Reply #2 on: September 29, 2015, 11:16:56 PM »
« Edited: September 30, 2015, 12:04:02 AM by MW Representative RFayette »

For instance, I just don't see Rubio winning North Carolina in a rout but getting thumped badly in New Hampshire.

Why? NH is hardly a swing state, it's a very liberal New England state. Rubio is polling well in every battleground state so far.

I can see Rubio losing NH, but not by say, 10 points or something while simultaneously winning NC by 7+ points.
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