If Electoral Votes Were Proportional to Popular Votes, 2016 (user search)
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  If Electoral Votes Were Proportional to Popular Votes, 2016 (search mode)
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Author Topic: If Electoral Votes Were Proportional to Popular Votes, 2016  (Read 1445 times)
HankW501
Rookie
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Posts: 62
United States


« on: November 21, 2016, 02:47:51 PM »
« edited: November 21, 2016, 05:48:58 PM by HankW501 »
I have calculated how each state would be voting on 19 Dec 2016 if their electoral votes were cast as closely as possible to their popular votes.  The vote totals would be...

263 votes for Clinton/Kaine
262 votes for Trump/Pence
11 votes for Johnson/Weld
1 vote for Stein/Baraka
1 vote for McMullin/Finn

Since no candidate would have received a majority of votes (270 or more), the U.S. House of Representatives would have to elect the President, and the U.S. Senate would have to elect the Vice President.  Based on the 8 Nov 2016 congressional election results, and assuming every Republican would vote Republican and every Democrat would vote Democratic, Donald Trump would win the presidency by a vote of 32-17, and Mike Pence would win the Vice Presidency with at least 51 votes.

Here is how each state's electors would be voting in this scenario:

StateHC/TKDT/MPGJ/WWJS/ABEM/MF
AL
3
6
AK
1
2
AZ
5
6
AR
2
4
CA
34
18
2
1
CO
5
4
CT
4
3
DE
2
1
DC
3
FL
14
14
1
GA
7
8
1
HI
3
1
ID
1
3
IL
11
8
1
IN
4
6
1
IA
3
3
KS
2
4
KY
3
5
LA
3
5
ME
2
2
MD
6
4
MA
7
4
MI
7
8
1
MN
5
5
MS
2
4
MO
4
6
MT
1
2
NE
2
3
NV
3
3
NH
2
2
NJ
8
6
NM
3
2
NY
17
11
1
NC
7
8
ND
1
2
OH
8
9
1
OK
2
5
OR
4
3
PA
10
10
RI
2
2
SC
4
5
SD
1
2
TN
4
7
TX
17
20
1
UT
2
3
1
VT
2
1
VA
7
6
WA
6
5
1
WV
1
4
WI
5
5
WY
1
2
Totals
263
262
11
1
1
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HankW501
Rookie
**
Posts: 62
United States


« Reply #1 on: November 24, 2016, 12:38:22 AM »
When the House of Representatives has to elect the President, each state gets one vote, so a minimum of 26 votes are required for a win.

The 32 states whose House coalitions will have a Republican majority beginning 3 Jan 2017 are...
Alabama,
Alaska,
Arizona,
Arkansas,
Colorado,
Florida,
Georgia,
Idaho,
Indiana,
Iowa,
Kansas,
Kentucky,
Louisiana,
Michigan,
Mississippi,
Missouri,
Montana,
Nebraska,
North Carolina,
North Dakota,
Ohio,
Oklahoma,
Pennsylvania,
South Carolina,
South Dakota,
Tennessee,
Texas,
Utah,
Virginia,
West Virginia,
Wisconsin, and
Wyoming.

The 17 states whose House coalitions will have a Democratic majority beginning 3 Jan 2017 are...
California,
Connecticut,
Delaware,
Hawaii,
Illinois,
Maryland,
Massachusetts,
Minnesota,
Nevada,
New Hampshire,
New Jersey,
New Mexico,
New York,
Oregon,
Rhode Island,
Vermont, and
Washington.

The one state whose House coalition will have the same number of Republicans and Democrats beginning 3 Jan 2017 is Maine.
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