Icelandic parliamentary election 2016

[DavidB.]

No, the most likely scenario seems to be a coalition consisting of the Left-Greens, Pirates, Bright Future and Regeneration, supported from the outside by the Social Democratic Alliance, who do not want to govern because they have lost so much. The absolute expert on Icelandic politics, a certain Scandinavian poster who was banned from participating on this forum, agrees with this (see AAD). The reason is that Regeneration explicitly state they do not want to govern with Independence. While there are vast differences in outlook among the Left-Greens and Pirates on the one hand and Regeneration on the other hand, they could probably agree on some sort of a reformist agenda, perhaps including a referendum on EU membership and a proposal for a new constitution.