LA and NC 2016 Congressional Races (user search)
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  LA and NC 2016 Congressional Races (search mode)
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Author Topic: LA and NC 2016 Congressional Races  (Read 62347 times)
MT Treasurer
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« on: August 07, 2015, 01:37:35 PM »

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Not true. I am pretty sure he would run ahead of Hillary (who will almost certainly lose the state).
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« Reply #1 on: December 24, 2015, 01:06:06 PM »
Excellent! This should make up for MD and IL.
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« Reply #2 on: July 22, 2016, 07:36:11 AM »
Burr pledges to retire after one more Senate term
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« Reply #3 on: November 30, 2016, 03:48:57 PM »
Campbell now running an ad that criticizes Kennedy from the right Roll Eyes Roll Eyes

Link

http://www.theadvocate.com/baton_rouge/news/politics/elections/article_23164d56-b69d-11e6-bf42-d7d1be691328.html
http://thehayride.com/2016/11/video-and-now-for-the-most-bizarre-campaign-ad-of-the-2016-election-cycle-in-louisiana/
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #4 on: December 04, 2016, 06:27:48 PM »
Kennedy's runoff campaign seems to be very low-energy. He is lucky that Campbell has been a flop so far, or else we could be looking at a Democratic pickup here.
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« Reply #5 on: December 05, 2016, 05:20:19 PM »
« Edited: December 05, 2016, 05:31:27 PM by TN Volunteer »

Keep in mind that that's exactly what they said in 2014... and Landrieu still exceeded expectations on election day, despite her terrible campaign. LA is not a state where Democratic turnout is significantly down in a runoff election.
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« Reply #6 on: December 07, 2016, 08:01:22 PM »
Trump to campaign for Kennedy in Baton Rouge on Friday
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« Reply #7 on: December 10, 2016, 04:09:14 PM »
« Edited: December 10, 2016, 04:15:35 PM by TN Volunteer »
Results pages:

https://voterportal.sos.la.gov/Graphical
http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/senate
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MT Treasurer
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« Reply #8 on: December 10, 2016, 08:21:33 PM »
Low turnout is being reported:

http://www.kplctv.com/story/34023494/low-voter-turnout-for-congressional-general-election
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« Reply #9 on: December 10, 2016, 09:03:22 PM »
« Edited: December 10, 2016, 09:06:58 PM by TN Volunteer »
Early vote coming in: Kennedy leading 60-40 with 13/64 parishes reporting.

Kennedy: 25,895
Campbell: 17,255
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« Reply #10 on: December 10, 2016, 09:09:25 PM »
Kennedy now ahead 66-34 with 85,000 votes already counted! And this is basically all early vote... brutal.
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« Reply #11 on: December 10, 2016, 09:13:58 PM »
Kennedy, John   GOP   57,797   67%
Campbell, Foster   Dem   28,876   33%

This is going to make Landrieu's showing look good by comparison.
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« Reply #12 on: December 10, 2016, 09:57:16 PM »
AP calls it for Kennedy.  52 R, 48 D it is.
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« Reply #13 on: December 10, 2016, 10:07:58 PM »
With 56% in:

Kennedy 340,366 - 64%
Campbell 194,230 - 36%

Kennedy underperforming Landrieu almost everywhere so far.
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« Reply #14 on: December 10, 2016, 10:14:33 PM »
« Edited: December 10, 2016, 10:20:00 PM by TN Volunteer »
Quote from: marty on December 10, 2016, 10:11:41 PM
How the hell is Foster up 20 POINTS in caddo?

Only 37 of 151 precincts have reported so far and it's mostly early vote. Landrieu won it 54-46 in 2014 and I doubt Campbell will do better than that when all the votes are in.

The AP has projected Mike Johnson as the winner in CD 4. R Hold.

Clay Higgins (R) beats Scott Angelle (R) in CD 3. Another R Hold.
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« Reply #15 on: December 10, 2016, 10:44:06 PM »
« Edited: December 10, 2016, 10:45:50 PM by TN Volunteer »
With 87% in:

Kennedy (R) - 490,459 - 63.1%
Campbell (D) - 286,635 - 36.9%

Campbell did better than Landrieu in Tensas Parish. It is very small, but interesting nonetheless.

Quote from: DavidB. on December 10, 2016, 10:42:33 PM
Almost all of the votes still out seem to be in New Orleans. TNVol's prediction of 58-42 could very much still come true.

Yeah, though this looks more like 61-39, tbh.
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« Reply #16 on: December 10, 2016, 11:09:10 PM »
Looks like Kennedy has won Caddo by a margin of 57 votes.
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« Reply #17 on: December 10, 2016, 11:25:04 PM »
In the end, the margin won't be that different from the presidential race result, so no GA 2008 redux. Democrats have a rock solid floor in LA.
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« Reply #18 on: December 10, 2016, 11:39:42 PM »
« Edited: December 10, 2016, 11:41:35 PM by TN Volunteer »
100% in:

Kennedy (R) - 536,204 - 61%
Campbell (D) - 347,813 - 39%

The first time in history that a Republican breaks 60% in a Senate race in LA, right?
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« Reply #19 on: December 11, 2016, 10:36:16 PM »
Quote from: Beet on December 11, 2016, 11:29:18 AM
Attacking Kennedy on abortion rights didn't deliver for Campbell.

Yeah, because Kennedy was the pro-life candidate in this race, not Campbell.
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