How much more Republican can Mississippi get?

[gespb19]

Black turnout was way down this year in MS. Looking at precinct results, a 15-20% decrease sounds about right.

[gespb19]

I'm skeptical that Mississippi's demographics will change dramatically in the way that a state like GA or NC might.

Mississippi has a very low Hispanic population, the few that do live here live in mostly rural areas where the poultry industry dominates (like Scott County where many Mexican immigrants have been brought in to work on the local chicken farms. Jones County as well). Most young black people that have the means to get out, will/do. Same goes for a lot of educated left of center whites in MS. They grow up here, go to college here, then leave (I will very likely be in this boat in a few years).

So unless Jackson takes off (a la Atlanta), or Oxford, Starkville, or Hattiesburg becomes some sort of Research Triangle type area, don't expect the state to be purple anytime soon.

[gespb19]

Yes. Turnout dropped 20-25 (some even close to 30%) in many heavily-black precincts in Jackson, Hattiesburg, Greenville, etc.