Likelihood to win the nomination

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Democratic Nomination:

Clinton - 90%
Sanders - 10%



Republican Nomination:

Trump - 40%
Rubio - 40%
Cruz - 10%
Kasich - 10%
Carson - 0%



Chances in General Election (if nominated)

Clinton - 65%
Rubio - 55%
Kasich - 55%
Sanders - 50%
Trump - 20%
Cruz - 10%
Carson - 10%

Chances at Being Next President (Nomination Chances x GE Chances)

Clinton - 58.5%
Rubio - 22%
Trump - 8%
Kasich - 5.5%
Sanders - 5%
Cruz - 1%
Carson - 0%



Party of Next President:

Democrat - 63.5%
Republican - 36.5%

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Clinton - 97%
Sanders - 3%

Trump - 65%
Cruz - 20%
Kasich - 15%
Other - 5%

That means we have a 63.05% chance of a Clinton-Trump election.

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Clinton - 95%
Sanders - 5%

Trump - 80%
Cruz - 7%
Kasich - 3%
Ryan - 1%
Haley - 1%
Scott - 1%
Rubio - .5%
Walker - .5%
Christie - .5%
Ros-Lehtinen - .5%
Flake - .5%
Herbert - .5%
Haslam - .5%
Fallin - .5%
Gardner - .5%
Fischer - .5%
Daugaard - .5%
Thune - .5%
Rounds - .5%
Corker - .5%