New Battleground Map (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
June 12, 2024, 11:11:14 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  New Battleground Map (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: New Battleground Map  (Read 6763 times)
/
darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« on: November 19, 2016, 02:42:25 PM »
This one is more technical - Clinton or Trump needed to have won a state by more than 5% for to give it a lean and more than 10% to make it safe.


Safe Democratic - 183
Lean Democratic - 18
Tossup - 133
Lean Republican - 78
Safe Republican - 126

Thoughts?
Logged
/
darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #1 on: November 19, 2016, 08:22:45 PM »
Quote from: 3D X 31 on November 19, 2016, 08:16:53 PM
Has it occurred to anyone that there was only one tipping point state this year? If you flip the one state the other side wins.

Texas?
Logged
/
darthebearnc
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,367
« Reply #2 on: November 19, 2016, 09:26:50 PM »
Quote from: TN Volunteer on November 19, 2016, 09:15:20 PM
Trump should do (much?) better in Texas in four years if it's a competitive election and he has decent approvals. Other than that, the map looks good (though maybe CO/NV/NH could be considered lean D).

Why, though? Clinton won them all by pretty small margins even as she won the popular vote.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.022 seconds with 13 queries.