The absentee/early vote thread

[BundouYMB]

Dems about 29K ahead in ballot requests and 38K in ballots returned. They need to be 50K ahead to win Iowa

Really? Because a). Obama won Iowa by 92K votes in 2012 and b). Democrats said they believe aggressive early vote efforts in 2014 (when early vote numbers looked amazing and Braley got thrashed) simply cannibalized their election day votes without actually adding to their overall vote totals.

Don't get me wrong, it's obviously better to have more votes banked but saying Democrats "need" to be 50K votes ahead to win doesn't add up and doesn't really make sense to me.

[BundouYMB]

Well, FWIW the TN Republican party issued a statement last week telling voters to "vote their conscience." Governor Haslam is also #NeverTrump.

I really don't think it matters though. TN would probably be one of the last states (along with Alabama, Arkansas, Oklahoma, and West Virginia) to vote for Clinton. The EV surge probably is due to a change in rules or something.