Is it possible to draw a Republican-leaning House district in Massachusetts? (user search)
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  Is it possible to draw a Republican-leaning House district in Massachusetts? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Is it possible to draw a Republican-leaning House district in Massachusetts?  (Read 1039 times)
Nyvin
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,682
United States


« on: July 05, 2017, 08:35:37 AM »



This district was fashioned almost entirely out of towns Trump won. Never mind that Obama won it by around 7K votes since he had better margins in Rural Massachusetts than in Suburbia when compared to 2016.

Is it feasible? Well, the MA House and Senate are both permanent Democratic Super-majorities, and the governor is rather weak. Massachusetts meanwhile is losing districts over time, meaning that those districts present are going to be pushed more and more into the Boston Metro.

Possible? Yes. Feasible? No.

Massachusetts is nowhere near losing any districts anytime in the near future,  at least not until 2040.
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Nyvin
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,682
United States


« Reply #1 on: July 05, 2017, 11:15:29 PM »

You have to work the Central district carefully around the bigger cities in the area like Worcester and Springfield, but it's doable with 2016 numbers to make a Republican District.  It's pretty much a Republican gerrymander, and definitely not a "normal" map though.

I don't think the Plymouth district would last that long with the way the trends are as a Republican district,  I imagine after 2020 redistricting that won't be possible anymore.
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