Predict how the Previous Poster Would've Voted in the Preceding Election

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Jerry Brown

Guess my vote for this:
https://ballotpedia.org/Tennessee_gubernatorial_election,_2014

But, for some more reference on the race:
https://ballotpedia.org/Tennessee_Legislative_Powers_Regarding_Abortion,_Amendment_1_(2014)

[100% pro-life no matter what]

He'd vote GOP.


1996

WRONG:

I abstained from the gubernatorial race, where Haslam was racking up 50-point margins, to help my vote on the ballot initiative count for more.

And, I'll say Dole

[100% pro-life no matter what]

He'd vote GOP.


1996

WRONG:

I abstained from the gubernatorial race, where Haslam was racking up 50-point margins, to help my vote on the ballot initiative count for more.

And, I'll say Dole

Wait you're allowed to vote twice on ballot initiatives there if you don't vote for a candidate?  What do you mean?

And no, I'd vote for Clinton in 1996.

Kind of.

Tennessee law states that the final step to amending the Constitution is to put it up to public vote.  The vote must be taken on the same ballot as the gubernatorial election (i.e. it can't be amended again until 2018).  In order for it to pass, it must meet two criteria:
a) more people voted yes than no
b) the total number of yes votes must be more than half the number of the votes cast in the gubernatorial election

So, to use an extreme example:
Gubernatorial: Haslam 1,000,000; Brown 0
Amendment: Yes 500,000; No 0

The Amendment fails, because it didn't get to 50%+1 of the number of votes cast in the gubernatorial race.  However, if one of Haslam's supporters abstained, it would be:

Gubernatorial: 999,999
Amendment: Yes 500,000; No 0

And it would pass.

It turns out that more votes were cast on the most controversial amendment (Amendment One, relating to abortion) than in the Governor's race.  So, all that mattered was that it passed 53-47.  Needless to say, the opponents of the amendment got really mad and are trying to sue.  However, all indications are that this would have passed even without this.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

Could you post a new election?

Republican Party Primary, 2008

[100% pro-life no matter what]

He'd vote GOP.


1996

WRONG:

I abstained from the gubernatorial race, where Haslam was racking up 50-point margins, to help my vote on the ballot initiative count for more.

And, I'll say Dole

Wait you're allowed to vote twice on ballot initiatives there if you don't vote for a candidate?  What do you mean?

And no, I'd vote for Clinton in 1996.

Kind of.

Tennessee law states that the final step to amending the Constitution is to put it up to public vote.  The vote must be taken on the same ballot as the gubernatorial election (i.e. it can't be amended again until 2018).  In order for it to pass, it must meet two criteria:
a) more people voted yes than no
b) the total number of yes votes must be more than half the number of the votes cast in the gubernatorial election

So, to use an extreme example:
Gubernatorial: Haslam 1,000,000; Brown 0
Amendment: Yes 500,000; No 0

The Amendment fails, because it didn't get to 50%+1 of the number of votes cast in the gubernatorial race.  However, if one of Haslam's supporters abstained, it would be:

Gubernatorial: 999,999
Amendment: Yes 500,000; No 0

And it would pass.

It turns out that more votes were cast on the most controversial amendment (Amendment One, relating to abortion) than in the Governor's race.  So, all that mattered was that it passed 53-47.  Needless to say, the opponents of the amendment got really mad and are trying to sue.  However, all indications are that this would have passed even without this.

I understand that, but they'll let you vote twice for an amendment if you forfeit your right to vote in one of the races?

Not technically, but it counts for more, even if you're not voting twice.  And, it only works with the governor race.  I would have had no incentive to abstain from the Senate race, for instance.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

He'd vote GOP.


1996

WRONG:

I abstained from the gubernatorial race, where Haslam was racking up 50-point margins, to help my vote on the ballot initiative count for more.

And, I'll say Dole

Wait you're allowed to vote twice on ballot initiatives there if you don't vote for a candidate?  What do you mean?

And no, I'd vote for Clinton in 1996.

Kind of.

Tennessee law states that the final step to amending the Constitution is to put it up to public vote.  The vote must be taken on the same ballot as the gubernatorial election (i.e. it can't be amended again until 2018).  In order for it to pass, it must meet two criteria:
a) more people voted yes than no
b) the total number of yes votes must be more than half the number of the votes cast in the gubernatorial election

So, to use an extreme example:
Gubernatorial: Haslam 1,000,000; Brown 0
Amendment: Yes 500,000; No 0

The Amendment fails, because it didn't get to 50%+1 of the number of votes cast in the gubernatorial race.  However, if one of Haslam's supporters abstained, it would be:

Gubernatorial: 999,999
Amendment: Yes 500,000; No 0

And it would pass.

It turns out that more votes were cast on the most controversial amendment (Amendment One, relating to abortion) than in the Governor's race.  So, all that mattered was that it passed 53-47.  Needless to say, the opponents of the amendment got really mad and are trying to sue.  However, all indications are that this would have passed even without this.

I understand that, but they'll let you vote twice for an amendment if you forfeit your right to vote in one of the races?

Not technically, but it counts for more, even if you're not voting twice.  And, it only works with the governor race.  I would have had no incentive to abstain from the Senate race, for instance.

That's interesting and I wonder how many other people did the same thing.

From Ballotpedia:

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