Democratic nomination
Clinton: 98%
Sanders: 1%
Other: 1%
Republican nomination
Outright Nomination: 25%
Contested Convention: 75%
Trump: 45%
Cruz: 30%
Kasich: 5%
Field: 20%
I just want to note that I have pretty much throughout the primary season taken the position that Trump would likely not be the nominee.
Republicans-
Outright nomination (10%):
Trump- 99%
Cruz- 1%
Contested convention (90%):
Cruz- 50%
Ryan- 30%
Trump- 10%
Kasich- 5%
Other- 5%
Overall:
Cruz: 45%
Ryan: 27%
Trump: 19%
Kasich: 4.5%
Other: 4.5%
Democrats:
Clinton: 97%
Sanders: 2%
Other: 1%
I was probably a little too optimistic right after Wisconsin.
Republicans-
Outright nomination (25%):
Trump- 100% (this includes the possibility of Trump winning on the first ballot despite not going in with 1237 pledged delegates)
Contested convention (75%):
Cruz- 65%
Trump- 15%
Other- 15%
Kasich- 5%
Overall:
Cruz: 49%
Trump: 36%
Other: 11%
Kasich: 4%
Democrats:
Clinton: 99%
Other: 1%