MT-AL: Rob Quist (D) vs. Greg Gianforte (R) vs. Mark Wicks (L), May 25

[Hydera]

Sadly this is a little too late to put Quist over the top. You'd need a week for people to digest events like this.

[Hydera]

Is there a reason why Quist is collapsing on PredictIt?

2/3rds of the vote which is early vote is already in.  

And the incident happened to late for maximum impact. Theres going to be many voters that won't even know gianforte body slammed a reporter.

For most scandals to have maximum impact you need minimum of 5 days to one week(the republican whore comment in 2006 caused a +5D lead to become +1R on election day) to get most voters to notice it.

[Hydera]

Regardless of what happens tonight, even if Gianforte wins, the GOP should be concerned that this race was ever as close as it was.

Its still embarrassing tbh for the dems if they lose considering they flipped Illinois senate seat in 2010 despite it going 70% for Obama in 2004 and also Obama's home state.   While the dems lose a Montana seat that was 60% for the GOP candidate in last year's house election.

[Hydera]

https://twitter.com/alexis_levinson/status/867849890919055360?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.redditmedia.com%2Fmediaembed%2Fliveupdate%2Fyznzjfyy2rm2%2FLiveUpdate_56348d5c-41a2-11e7-9e24-0ec220880c66%2F0

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Translation: A Republican can bodyslam me and i'll still vote for him because of the R next to his name!!

[Hydera]

sigh, so basically montana voters are more willing to vote for dems for senate and governor but for their congressional​ district their more conservative. much more conservative.

[Hydera]

Not liking Quist's chances.

what an understatement.