Why will Donald Trump win or lose in your view?

[Sir Mohamed]

He’ll lose for several reasons:

First, he insulted entire population groups and/or has no appeal to them. The GOP analyzed after its 2012 defeat, that they have to reach out to latinos in order to win again. Now they have a dude as their nominee, who denounced a substantial number as drug dealers and rapists. The same with women: he has a long history of insulting women. Let alone the GOP’s huge problems with blacks. In addition, college-educated whites who usually lean Republican and voted for Romney the last time hesitate to cast their ballot for Trump. With this demographic problems, his path to 270 electoral votes became very thin.

Second, the debate is now about his sanity and character. A majority of voters feel that he can’t be trusted with nuclear weapons and that he is unaware of foreign-policy basics. That may be funny for a while on TV, but when it comes down to put him in charge, it’s something different. He failed to use voter’s reservations with Hillary to his gain. The public debate aside from Fox "News" is now about his shortcomings, not Hillary’s e-mail problems. In short: He doesn’t know how to run a general election campaign and, like on other topics, he proved that he’s unable or unwilling to learn.

Third, party unity and with it tremendous problems to raise money and built a campaign infrastructure. Especially the lack of a ground game is problematic. He thinks it’s enough to gather enough people to his rallies. He doesn’t understand that most of these people vote for him anyway. He needs a ground game, campaign at other locations (even spontaneous, like at restaurants etc.) and buy adds on TV/radio.

Forth, all in all, his negatives are too high to recover within 85 days. Unless something really bad brings Hillary down, the Trumpster is done.