The Hill: Pryor leads Huckabee 49-42 in poll

[jokerman]

I know Mark Pryor personally, and he is a wonderful Senator.  Arkansas is a much more Democratic state than people give it credit for, and Pryor is very popular.  His dad served in the Senate for 24 years, and was also the governor.  If Hillary wins Arkansas (which I think she will), then Pryor should coast to reelection.

Yes, Arkansas is a very democratic state; however, I've found something that, initially, took me rather by surprise

Assuming all states allocated their Electoral votes in the same way as Maine and Nebraska, Arkansas would have been the only 'Dixie' state not to have cast a single vote for Kerry. Then it occurred to me, that she has no African-American majority congressional districts
Dave

Right, Arkansas doesn't gerrymander.  Plus it would be very, very hard to create a black-dominated congressional district.  Few counties at all are black-majority.  On the other hand there are few yellow dog holdouts (going Democratic for even Kerry and giving Beebe totals in the 70s) that combined with black that combined with black-counties would produce a legitiment gerrymandered district.  Thankfully, Arkansas won't have anything close to a GOP legislature for a very long time (hopefully forever).

[jokerman]

I think the map would harm Boozman.  The Ozark GOP strongholds are for the most part cutout and replaced with politically traditional Arkansas counties.

[jokerman]

With Benton and Sebastian counties behind him, Boozman would definitely still have the edge in his district.  It would take something like a strong Democratic state senator from Washington County to unseat him.

On the other hand, Snyder might have trouble with the grey district.  It's hard to tell precisely on the map, but it looks as if you're leaving him with the conservative Little Rock suburbs but without urban Little Rock itself to counterbalance that.  He'll still have some Democratic strongholds in the east and south, but he'll face some competition in his reelection.