Hew Hampshire in 2014 and beyond?

[Proudconnh]

New Hampshire will probably swing Republican in 2016 if the right candidate gets the nomination, Ayotte will win the senate, but Hassan will win the governorship again, even though she's only polling as high as she is due to the  incumbent advantage. New Hampshire only seems like a liberal state because, on the national and state wide levels, we have popular incumbents who are largely democrats. But on the lower levels, we have a Republican controlled legislature and executive council (both of which Hassan blames for everything), and  polling shows the largest self identified ideology as "Independent" followed by "Moderate Conservative".  In recent national polls, some GOP candidates are leading Clinton, and those that aren't are close behind in most cases, for example Ted Cruz is down only 1%, while he was down 12% at this time last year.