Megathread: Congressional Vote on the Iran Deal

[Crumpets]

Is there a possibility of any Republican Senator supporting the deal?

Looking at the Hill's whip list, I'd say there's a chance Portman could come out in favor, but I wouldn't bet on it; it would basically end any chance of him being picked for VP.

[Crumpets]

Yes just needs two more undecideds plus all "leans yes" in order to hit 34.

[Crumpets]

Here's the current status of all House Democrats with regards to the deal according to the Hill's whip list: Dark green=yes, light green=lean yes, yellow=undecided/unclear, light red=lean no, dark red=no

[Crumpets]

Well, at this point, Manchin is leaning yes, which gets us to 35. The 9 undecided Democrats are Bennet, Blumenthal, Booker, Cantwell, Cardin, Heitkamp, Peters, Warner, and Wyden. Obama only needs Manchin plus six of those to filibuster. Who are the three most likely of those to vote no? Booker, Wyden, and Heitkamp?

[Crumpets]

Updated map of House Democrats - still a lot of yellow out there, and not a lot of red. Let me know if this map is missing anything.

[Crumpets]

Cantwell, Peters, and Manchin alone get it to 41, and I'd say they're all significantly above 50/50.

[Crumpets]

Here's the Senate map, leaving Collins as undecided.

[Crumpets]

Any word on Susan Collins recently?

[Crumpets]

Senate is voting today at 3:45pm.

I assume that's Eastern Time, so a half-hour from now?

[Crumpets]

Here's the final House map:



Dark Red = Republican Nay (244)
Light Red = Democratic Nay (25)

Dark Green = Democratic Aye (162)
Light Green = Republican Aye (0)

Orange = Republican present (1)
Cyan = Democrat present (0)
Light Red = Republican No Vote (1)
Lavender = Democrat No Vote (1)
Gray = Vacancy (1)

[Crumpets]

Thomas Massie's district is actually the northernmost one in Kentucky.

Thanks! Fixed.

[Crumpets]

Pope Endorses The Iran Deal

This Pope continues to be awesome! He also calls for the removal of all nuclear weapons from the Middle East (aka Israel).

If there's one source Israel doesn't take orders from, it's the Roman Catholic Church.

Then it's a good thing Israel can't do anything to stop the deal.

Not the deal, per se, but if it gets to zero hour, it'll likely be on them alone to stop Iran from becoming a nuclear state a la North Korea.

Regardless, this isn't about the deal. This is about the man in charge of the institution responsible for most of the pre-WW2 attempts at wiping out the Jews telling the world's Jewish state that they need to disarm.

Let me guess, you also think Kennedy should've nuked Moscow during the Cuban Missile Crisis

How is that comparable? Moscow had nuclear weapons and there was MAD to be concerned with.

The last time to prevent that is drawing very near.

So, you don't support nuking the USSR during the Cuban Missile Crisis, but you wish we had launched Operation Unthinkable?