Which of these people is the most likely to gain a lot of support?

[Leinad]

Ranked from most likely to least likely:

Jindal - if it wasn't for Ted Cruz, he might be the young grassroots conservative guy. A Cruztastrophe (unlikely) could lead to a surge in Jindal polling. I think lots of voters really like him, but those are the exact group of people who really, really like Cruz.

Santorum - he's won Iowa before, so it's hard to count him out. But he's losing social conservatives to Cruz, Huckabee, and Carson, and economic populists to Trump, so I think it will be hard. Then again, it was hard for him last year--but then again again, the people he had to beat out last year were Rick Perry, Herman Cain, and Michelle Bachmann, now he's got Rick Perry, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, Ben Carson, Scott Walker, and Donald Trump all in his way.

Graham - for no reason other than the fact he's from South Carolina. If he survives until then, he might have some homestate magic and surge into the top tier from that. But he'll probably be either out by then, or even more of a non-factor than he is now.

Perry - a record in Texas that conservatives like a lot, but he's...Rick...Perry. Hipster glasses won't save him, not even Ronald Raven can save him now.

George Pataki - 3-term governor in a Democrat-controlled state--nothing to sneeze at there. But he's too far to the left to get any non-moderates, and why would a moderate leave Jeb/Kasich/Christie for him? No reason.

Jim Gilmore - very little name ID, entered too late, only 1 term as governor, fairly old, nope.