Put a Rating on the U.S. Senate for 2016 - Summer (user search)
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  Put a Rating on the U.S. Senate for 2016 - Summer (search mode)
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Poll
Question: How would you rate either partys chance at the U.S. Senate?
#1
Safe R
 
#2
Likely R
 
#3
Lean R
 
#4
Toss-up
 
#5
Lean D
 
#6
Likely D
 
#7
Safe D
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 61

Author Topic: Put a Rating on the U.S. Senate for 2016 - Summer  (Read 2000 times)
Kingpoleon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,144
United States


« on: July 17, 2016, 01:21:54 PM »

Tossup. They need five seats, and besides Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, they have to hold Nevada and win FL, NH, and IL. That barely gives them five.

Indiana, Arizona, and Missouri all should get more investment in case Kirk holds on.
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Kingpoleon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,144
United States


« Reply #1 on: July 19, 2016, 04:11:50 PM »

Oh, no doubt the GOP has a high floor in NH, but their ceiling is also below 50% (Scott Brown 2014). The race will be within 5 points for sure, and my guess is that Climbing Maggie will win by 3 in the end, maybe even 2.  Ayotte would have won in ANY other somewhat competitive state, even Maine.
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_election_in_New_Hampshire,_2010
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