Is Trump now the favorite? (user search)
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  Is Trump now the favorite? (search mode)
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Author Topic: Is Trump now the favorite?  (Read 3724 times)
Kingpoleon
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Posts: 22,144
United States


« on: September 15, 2016, 07:42:34 AM »

No. Even if he wins all the states where he has a >30% chance of winning on 538 polls-only, he only gets to 264 (counting ME-2). He still needs to pull off PA, and so far he's not doing it. As I've said more times than I care to know, the winner of PA will win the election. Period. It's just the way things are. Neither candidate can win without it.

264 EVs+one of the states in green
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